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ErinInTheSky

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Everything posted by ErinInTheSky

  1. ErinInTheSky
    I see we lost the HRRR last night. But I gained the GFS.
  2. ErinInTheSky
    Yeah. I mean, there are ensemble members that shut us all out, and there are ensemble members that look like the GFS 3 days ago.
  3. ErinInTheSky
    I don't know how useful or useless GEFS ensembles are at super short range but it's crazy how much variation exists in the ensembles over the next 40 hours.
  4. ErinInTheSky
    I'm hugging HRRR. HRRR is best model. I'm breaking up with the Euro. Seriously though, yummu. WB HRRR. Usual caveat that these maps are misleading, but for me, my totals usually are much closer to these than the "Snow depth" maps as I tend to bust high in my microclimate in Germantown.
  5. ErinInTheSky
    I am just going to pretend the Euro doesn't exist.
  6. ErinInTheSky
    30% chance of a foot of snow in Germantown? I'll take it.
  7. ErinInTheSky
    I think we’ve got every bit of good news/bad news we are going to get from models and it’s onto now casting. I’m hopeful IMBY in Germantown I’m going to see something good. I tend to bust high here as much as I bust low. 10” is my hope, 6” will make me happy though. Less than that, I’ll be disappointed.
  8. ErinInTheSky
    Tracking this one in Germantown is fun. The margins between mix and 4” and colossal smashing 18” all cut within miles of me.
  9. ErinInTheSky
    Euro isn't disaster on the back end.
  10. ErinInTheSky
    I'm a kid in a candy store right now y'all. Like, I moved here in 2016. All but one of my winters has been <12" total. I have never experienced a legitimate, shut everything down snowstorm in my life. My divorce is on Wednesday. I've been waiting for it to go through for 2 years. The custody decision will happen via zoom Wednesday. If Wednesday is the day I finally get my snowstorm, I may get custody of my child and then my first major winter storm on the same day.
  11. ErinInTheSky
    GFS and Euro are almost identical right now at 120h in terms of total snowfall. I'm so hopeful this pans out, I really want my first legitimate snow storm since moving here in 2016. Maybe this is the year.
  12. ErinInTheSky
    Here's some tasty Kuchera
  13. ErinInTheSky
    Oh my god, am I going to experience my first real snow storm since moving here in 2016?
  14. ErinInTheSky
    First frozen of the year in Germantown. Snow pellets.
  15. ErinInTheSky
    Power died and I had no radar access for 15 min in Germantown.
  16. ErinInTheSky
    Southern MoCo storm warned
  17. ErinInTheSky
    Oh god it’s hooking so clean right as it heads into bmore.
  18. ErinInTheSky
    I’m staring at what looks like a shelf cloud in Germantown.
  19. ErinInTheSky
    Waiting for it in Germantown. Can see the CtG.
  20. ErinInTheSky
    Interesting velocity sig by Leesburg.
  21. ErinInTheSky
    Here we go
  22. ErinInTheSky
  23. ErinInTheSky
  24. ErinInTheSky
    WOW this derecho! PDS to Chicago.
  25. ErinInTheSky
    This thing looks pretty for the DC crew though.
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