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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. Sleet/freezing rain/snow mixture here. Gunna b buried
  2. It has compacted so much here hard to tell. I'm right by Alta and saw a 6in report there. I did just notice that cutoff for that was just before 5. We still had some more snow after then. Not much but some. Definitely curious to see an updated map once more totals come in. But still guessing there will be lower totals in this area. We didn't get much from overnight and snow this morning was not of good quality. Wasn't till banding moved in and finally got some bigger flakes.
  3. This is comical. Guess who is in middle of that big dropout in totals? Me. Largely missed a lot of the banding and convective snow south and up north got into the waa snow more than here last night. This is better than anything last winter but when your expectations are for bigger totals, color me disappointed with this one.
  4. Snow going to be ending within next hr or so here. Hours ahead of schedule. Idt I been so disappointed in a storm in a long time. Especially when all the models and nws were forecasting big totals. Congrats to all that scored big.
  5. Snow looks like it's going to end early here at least. This definitely was an underperformer for me. Was supposed to get 8-12in. Idk if I will even hit that range. Snow quality was a killer early on then all this good banding really hammered I72 south of me. Looking at radar the system seems to be moving very fast.
  6. Springfield getting demolished by very heavy snow and some thunder. I72 going to end up being a jackpot zone. I was not expecting that.
  7. That was my issue through the morning. Very poor flake quality. Like pixie dust. Finally getting quality snow now. Thinking I may be on lower end of what was forecasted here though. Kind of feel like precip may move out sooner than forecasted.
  8. Yeah that dry pocket worries me a bit. My snow im in is on eastern fringes of that. Hoping it doesn't creep east and hoping it fills in more. Flake size has been pretty small so far.
  9. Im a little concerned about this dry slot in northern MO. All that heavy precip by STL seems like it may skirt south of me. Hrrr suggests things will fill in later. We shall see
  10. I hope the radar really blossoms and fills in like models are suggesting. Trough seems to be approaching western NE. Isentropric lift should start increasing next few hours.
  11. Watch it be right. Lol. I hope this precip shield fills in south like hrrr shows later. Right now main waa band setting up pretty north in Iowa. Always nail biting watching these evolve.
  12. 18z wasn't as nice on nam's as it was on 12z for here. Im so close to being in that jackpot zone. Still will be a solid storm and will beat anything I got last year by a long shot. But man a slight shift south would be nice. Ha
  13. Must be nice. Lol. Y'all really get spoiled up there. Can't tell you last time we got double digits snow here.
  14. Yeah the early morning through mid to possibly late afternoon look good here. Probably several hours of solid rates. But I would be shocked with a low track that north if we dont mix or switchover at some point. But good thing is here looks to happen towards end of the event when most of our accumulation is done already. This system doesn't have much of a deformation zone.
  15. I wish I was bit more north for this one. Still worried about mixing here. Definitely going to miss the jackpot zone but still could get a solid hit. But man it's been forever since we had double digits here.
  16. Something that should probably be used for this event in a lot of areas is snow depth to see a more realistic depiction of what you may measure on ground. Kuchera and 10:1 maps aren't accounting for the compaction and melting from this very wet snow that will likely occur and are probably overinflated. Yes 8-10in may fall but may not reflect on ground after melting and compaction.
  17. Definitely worried about how north some hi res guidance is. Especially the hrrr/rap. It still has decent totals here but question snow quality especially in the latter part of the storm as low passes close or over. Hrrr/rap drag the mixing line north of me. Gfs/euro/nam keep it south. Tomorrow is the day to watch for trends. Hoping this doesn't start a north trend now. I think QC up to Chicago really going to cash in but a little nervous down here on I74 corridor.
  18. Yeah it definitely is. I wouldn’t want it anymore north than that. Hugs that mixing line right against me. Oof. My biggest worry is the marginal temps and ratios during day Sat. If rates are high enough it will help mitigate it somewhat but I do anticipate some level of melting and compaction. Hoping that warm nose can stay south enough to avoid a changeover. But that sfc low does get pretty north.
  19. Yeah I think lower ratios and temps may keep snow totals in check. If we had colder air would be different story
  20. 0z gfs seems to be wanting to speed up the system imo. Definitely moving out quicker than 18z and definitely faster than other models It wasn't too drastically different but definitely nervous on that trend starting
  21. Looking pretty solid for you. I80 north definitely has highest chance of seeing warning criteria. Slightly lower temperatures and higher ratios. A bit further from warm nose pushing north. As low passes by could get some wraparound and lake effect with n to ne flow off Lake Michigan. South of I80 could see warning criteria as well but more south you get there could be more issues with temps/snow ratios and lesser totals. But this looks like a decent spread the wealth event.
  22. Wish those double digits in Iowa were more se looks like they may get in on waa snow more and a bit of wraparound. Also may have slightly lower temps and higher ratios there.
  23. 18z euro more realistic with other models now and still a nice hit for a lot of subforum. I would be very happy with that outcome. Hopefully we don't start a drying trend though.
  24. You watch your mouth. Don't speak it into existence. Lol Low ratios and snow falling during day in marginal temps will definitely lead to a lot of compaction. Going to be heavy wet snow
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