cyclone77
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Everything posted by cyclone77
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Still no real idea how much to go with here. That last storm system really skewed me into a more negative mindset regarding expectations lol. Looks like a good chance at a quick 3-5" later tonight with this first portion. The big question is how will things go tomorrow. At this point I'll just consider whatever we get tomorrow a bonus.
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NAM/HRRR both give us more snow by sunrise than all of the last storm lol. Really solid first wave of precip later tonight looks like.
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Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Verbatim we go from a morning low of near -20 Tuesday to a morning low of near 30 just 2 days later Thursday AM on the Euro. -
I'll go 3-5" here, with most of that with tonight's wave. Looking like tomorrow's will be a graze job after the long drizzle/very light snow lull.
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FYP
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The thing to worry about here is that tomorrow night's wave performs best off to the northwest, and then the main wave of precip sort of just grazes us later Friday after a long lull with drizzle/very light snow. If we can do well enough with the first wave then being grazed by the main one wouldn't be so bad. Hopefully the globals are correct in showing more of widespread distribution of heavier snowfall.
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Looks like a few flurries at best here tonight. Our dense snowpack has settled back to 3". Hope we can add a few more inches later tomorrow night and Friday before the cold hits.
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You guys are really gonna max out this incoming arctic blast with such deep snow cover.
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First call for here 1-8".
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Congrats! This storm will haunt me for awhile. Just shit luck the past 4 winters.
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Just the weather station, no regular gauge.
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Very nice! I'd love to do one of those core samples if I had equipment or knew how, but since there's been so much melting from underneath it wouldn't be accurate anyway. The melted bottom layer likely soaked into the unfrozen top soil lol.
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4.3" with a short while of light snow left. most models showed over 1" of precip so assuming we got that we effectively got 4:1 snow with compaction/melting. Even now you can hear dripping when outside. Felt like an October or April storm. Oh well, on to the next.
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Temp has finally dipped back to freezing. Moderate snow under this band atm.
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Congrats to Hawkeye and CR crew for finally (likely) getting their first footer. Very disappointing outcome here with the extremely low ratios. Hard to complain though when areas southeast in the sub are getting a cold rain. Should hopefully add another inch or so to bring us to near 5". Nice to have an all-day snow event.
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Got about 4" here of the most wet/dense snow I've ever seen.
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About 2" here. Had about 4hr lull but more snow moving back in now. EDIT: Weather station shows 0.04" of precip, so some melting is taking place.
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Well. Can't let a season go by without adding this one to the mix..
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Some convective snows upstream in southeast KS with lightning strikes north of Chanute a short while ago.
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1.8" here as of midnight with steady high-end light snow still falling. New Euro still shows a bit over an inch of QPF for the QCA, but has shifted the heaviest weenie band south from previous runs. Many high-res model runs have 1"+ for the QCA as well. Ratios are <10:1, but much better rates with the stuff coming in around daybreak and through tomorrow should help. Think we'll end up with 8-9" of very dense/wet snow here.
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Sounds about right. Made all the more dramatic by the warm/quiet winter we've had up until now.
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Yeah looks like we'll both be outside of the heavy swath, but high ratio snows on top of what will already be a deep snowpack will be fun. Will just add even more ferocity to the incoming arctic blast.
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A little over an inch here now. Ratios are definitely less than 10:1, a very dense snow. Gonna have a long lull later tonight before rippage sets in towards sunrise.
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Wow, you're doing well there. Just a few tenths here but heavier returns struggled to get in here until just now. It's caking to trees so wondering if power outages could become an issue when the higher winds hit.
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That's a great idea for depicting different zones.
