cyclone77
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Everything posted by cyclone77
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zzzz
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Another afternoon with dews in the 40s and a fresh east breeze. It can stay like this all summer as far as I'm concerned. Very boring weather from an enthusiast standpoint though I guess.
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These dews are crazy low for mid June. Dipped into the 30s over a large part of the sub, with some upper 20s as well as pointed out by madwx. Someone must have tripped over a cord at HRRRv headquarters. Model hasn't updated since Thursday.
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Temps overachieved again in this area. Made it to 88 here, 87 at MLI. Backdoor CF almost here. Only low 70s tomorrow.
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Temps overachieved today, as we made it to 81 here, and 83 at MLI. Loving these 50 degree dews.
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DVN FTW!!
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Stormed after midnight, and another round of showers this afternoon brought the daily total to 0.62", and the event total to 1.22".
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The 00z DVN sounding from very close to the center of Cristobol is pretty impressive. Near saturation up to over 350mb. photo uploader
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Wow, only 71 here. You were definitely in a good location for nice action from this event. Since this event was pretty ball-less here I'm ready for this to get out of here and get some good ol' fashioned summertime convection back in here.
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Highlight of the event going on right now with 35-40mph gusts. Final total is 0.60".
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BP down to 991mb here, and 990mb at MLI and DVN. Looks like the low center is passing a bit west of the QC, so prob 989mb somewhere between the obs. Have picked up 0.55" here. Things pretty much went as planned for this area. A benign event if you didn't know what was causing it. Still hoping for a few 35mph+ gusts between 6-9pm immediately following the center of circulation.
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And one minute later it commences to crap the bed.
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The heavy convective shower that's heading right at MLI is the type that could easily cause a brief spin-up with this setup.
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Good thing this is fairly progressive, as your area would really be in trouble otherwise. Still looks like an easy 2-4"+ rain there. Picked up a quick 0.18" so far with this first band. You can definitely tell PWs are through the roof. Raining in sheets, with 25-30mph east-southeasterlies. All we're missing are some palm trees lol.
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Just started raining for the first time today. Temp made it to 81, but will now drop back to the mid 70s. BP down to 998mb, and dropping steadily. Should bottom out around 989-990mb between 5-6pm. HRRR is backing off the brief strong winds immediately follow the SLP passage.
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Not in this sub, but out in Nebraska winds are gusting to 70mph at North Platte. Also 71mph in southeast CO at Springfield.
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Winds gusting to 47mph in Decatur already. 42mph at Champaign.
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Flash flood watch one county west, wind advisories one county east. Positioned perfectly in the lame zone for this thing. HRRR does show some strong winds immediately following the passage of the low early this evening. Surface low looks to go right through here.
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Upper levels suck but low/mid-levels are very nice, and with so much ambient vorticity I'd be happy to be on any discrete convective cell in that environment.
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Up to 6" of snow has fallen on I-80 in southeastern Wyoming this evening. Considerable amounts of snow falling over the higher terrain of Colorado. 55-60mph northerly winds are blasting over northeast Colorado as temps plummet through the 40s after being in the 70s and 80s earlier today. Pretty insane to be seeing this so late into the year. It can snow in these same places in <3 months.
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93 here and at DVN today, and 92 at MLI. Winds were southeasterly today and that explains why here/DVN was warmer than MLI. On days with southwest/west winds MLI is usually a few degrees warmer than both locations.
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Looks like Hawkeye won't be mentioning lack of heavy rain anymore for awhile. Looks like that area will be ground zero for 3-5" of rain. Looks like 1/2-1" or so here, as we'll be very close to the track. Maybe some 30-40mph gust potential. Normally pretty much would be a non-event, but the tropical aspect of it is pretty sweet.
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Slight bump east on both the 3km NAM/HRRRV which brings the heaviest rains closer towards DVN. Another tick east and we'll be in the heaviest. Don't need the rain at all, but if we aren't gonna get the good winds might as well go for the heavy rains I guess lol.
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The track of the Cristobal comes right through here the way it's looking. Looks like the heaviest rains miss to the west (which is good for this area), and the strongest winds miss to the east. Still a pretty cool system to watch though. We should have an over/under for strongest wind gust for a location that looks like it could be in for the highest winds, like ORD or something.
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75mph wind gusts from northeast IL into southeast WI Tuesday night.
