Lights have been flickering here the past half hour or so. Snow is sticking to the ice on the trees even with the wind.
Looks like a good half inch so far. HRRR/3km NAM show another 0.3" or so of precip, so hope to end up in that 3-4" range. Not as epic as places east are getting but respectable.
Yeah we had rime icing/hoar frost which also clung to that for several days with a string of days with very dense fog. All that fell off/melted a few days after that.
Yeah 3-4" sounds about right for here as well. We've actually gone back over to 75/25 sleet/frz rain. CC shows solid snow is just about here though. Heavy returns moving in from the south, should have heavy snow here within a half hour to hour.
Prob trying to work off a big supper lol.
Mix of freezing rain and sleet here. Nice glaze on the trees/snowpack. Paved areas still just wet with temps hovering at 32.
Now I know how it feels to live in Kirksville with the radar being down.
Poor timing. Was watching CC to give me an idea of how the changeover was going. Guess it will remain a mystery now lol.
HRRR has all snow here at 5pm, so it's obviously not handing the changeover well. Most other guidance has us all snow by 7-8pm at the latest so hopefully that works out. Would be a lot more frustrating if we didn't just have the 6"er last Monday.
Nice to hear.
Getting first pingers here. DVN still showing melting layer around 4000ft. We'll see what happens when the much heavier precip moves in over the next hour or two.
Woops, make that freezing rain. Glaze of ice already on the snow, and some on the trees as well. Paved areas not freezing though.
DVN shows melting layer at about 4000ft. HRRR shows us all snow by 6pm, so we'll see.
Cold rain and 32 here. Have had off and on heavy drizzle the past few hours. Was quite a bit of blowing/drifting snow out in the open earlier before the drizzle capped it.
Gonna lower the call from 6-8" to 2-5" for this area. As intense as the precip will be there's just too much WAA to overcome. Wouldn't be surprised if we get another mega sleet dump as we transition from rain to snow early this eve.
Ha well we ain't no stranger to a string of 60s in Feb and that would nuke it all to hell, but it would have the capability to hold on longer than a "normal" 10" snowpack lol.
If mixing issues end up being an issue and we only get a few inches of snow it's only going to make the snowpack in place that much more formidable. Would prefer an all-snow 6+ incher but there is an upside to the mixing scenario at least lol. Would have loved to get in on that 2"/hr scenario the models were putting out in previous cycles. It's still possible but looking less likely for these parts.
Mixing issues had been looking to stay just south of the QCA, but now it's looking like we'll be dealing with that to start. Think we'll very quickly go over to very heavy snow though with the heavy precip. Gonna ride my 6-8"+ call.
DVN going with 7:1-10:1 LSR for the cwa which sound pretty solid. I will say that LSRs could be briefly much higher in the first enhanced band. Wouldn't be surprised to see large flakes with that add up very quickly. Gonna ride the 6-8" call but wouldn't be surprised if totals are more than that, especially a bit northeast of here.