paweather

1 minute ago, canderson said:

Might be time to punt Tuesday. Hope the 20th works out because if not  we won’t have anything to track until mid February it seems. 

That’s not true it will warm up but reload before the end of the month.

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

0z Canadian still has decent snow just to our southeast for Tuesday.

I think our sights now turn to the 20th

GFS is Nada!

22 minutes ago, canderson said:

Steady rain here. Bordering on heavy. 

It’s almost done

Looks like this rain is falling apart 

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

18z NBM blend still solid for Tuesday.

Can it win!

So we expecting 1-24” next week makes perfect sense  

How much Virga:

ICON!

14 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

Here’s the latest for the arctic wild-card matchups

Kansas City 7pm Sat via NBM. This falls to about -3ºF by the end of the game. Euro is as cold as -5ºF at kickoff

Wind Chills:

Here’s BUF’s early snow forecast for the lake effect snow. Orchard Park is right in the middle of that 18-24”

 

 

Fun Wild card weekend!

Thanks all for showing the good runs getting a little nervous last night. 

We got a couple of weeks of tracking starting next week. Gonna be fun!

10 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Euro and Icon were pretty similar at 12z. Hopefully that continues with the 18z runs.

Thanks. I just was looking at the 12z Euro it looked like the low was way off shore. 

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Best ICON run since 0z last night. Like you said, Ratios could help us this event.

Looks good not liking the Euro though hope off run

Great story Belichick says goodbye to the Kraft Family. He is an icon who coached the GOAT of All time. It will be interesting to see if he goes somewhere else. Now back to the snowstorm let's do it! 

GFS nice 6-10" snowstorm. I am gearing up ready to roll with it. 

21 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I have no rooting interest in this one really - I don't like or dislike either team. I was trying really had (and failing) to be clever in incorporating Cee Dee into my analysis.   

 Thank you!

12 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Green Bay needs to figure out how to win the time of possession game in a big way if they want a chance - probably only chance you have to win the game of silence of the lamb. 

Be Nice!

2 hours ago, MAG5035 said:

I’d make a solid wager on it becoming very newsworthy in the sports media as it gets in the short range and BUF starts putting out products and accumulation forecasts for it (significant LES already being mentioned in their AFD). Although I’d probably make a solid wager on taking the Steelers at +10 too haha.

But it seriously looks like a great setup for a major LES event. It’d be the first widespread one of the season with legitimate cold air over the unfrozen lakes too. I posted a map a few days ago and things look about the same with that WSW flow over the length of Lake Erie focusing on the south towns of Buffalo (where Orchard Park is). Aligned cyclonic WSW flow all the way up through 700mb. Low level 925 and 850mb temps in the -10 to -18ºC (ideal range for snow growth) over water temps in Erie that are mostly in the upper 30s to near 40. Timing is right around game time too and during Sunday. It could be a quite a spectacle. 

Love it Mag! Awesome to have snow games this weekend! 

1 minute ago, canderson said:

Legit cold going to be in Texas for about 70 hours next week. Should be impressive. 

Hope not Sunday!

It is getting there:

34 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

40 here and fairly windy but gusts just in the upper 20's and low 30's.  Other side of the house getting it today.   

 

 

The 16th still in play on the 12Z GFS and then another close one a bit later.  Not literally worried about this timing missing as it shows some potential and still in that period before the relaxation that keeps being advertised the last week of January.  The key for me is the 16th system getting into NE Canada to keep the fun going the next week after it.   500 below shows what I think was the coastal SLP just missing a phase. 

 

 

 

I think so as well. the 16th is still has potential. 

Me like the setup:

What a beauty that was!

Per JB turnaround is next week with the coastal storm, that Mag pointed out, and then the cold. We shall see.