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CoraopolisWx

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Everything posted by CoraopolisWx

  1. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/stormevents/eventdetails.jsp?id=206605 Sunday mornings forecast reminds me of this event. I remember being glad I flew out the day before, instead of that morning.
  2. Yeah, noticed on the higher elevation cams, a solid coating on the grass.
  3. Flash freezing conditions could be an issue, along with the potential squalls.
  4. Guidance seems to all agree on decent energy swinging through Wednesday night into Thursday. The setup looks similar to other frontal type snow bands we’ve seen. Could be a quick 1-2” in the heavier bands.
  5. Congrats to you folks with the LES. It’s been awhile.
  6. The latest 850's look ok, so with a marginal air mass, a rain/snow mix might be the best we do. Although, these flat progressive systems sometimes favor our region. Will definitely be a close call. Nice to finally have a more winter like pattern, instead of early fall.
  7. This steady evening precip was handled well by the guidance. Impressive stacked LP.
  8. This setup reminds me of 2/10/10. Decent moisture and energy on the wrap around. Unfortunately, temps are too warm for most of us.
  9. Euro is now showing the solution the GFS and CMC had last week. lol
  10. Regardless of what happens later this week, hopefully the source regions north of the border, can start building a permanent snowpack. Last season a few decent setups had insufficient cold air to draw from. The way our winters have been lately, we can’t afford the waste any potential storms.
  11. https://wsbt.com/news/local/forecasting-winter-with-wsbt-chief-meteorologist-cari-peugeot-2024-2025-snow-sleet-blizzard-precipitation-how-much-la-nina-lake-effect-temperatures-michigan-south-bend-mishawaka-indiana
  12. Classic long duration snowstorm setup. Would be nice to get one or two of these this winter.
  13. Almost tropical like efficiency with this system. Probably will end up with 3-4” for the second week in a row.
  14. Based on records I could find, this could end up being the lowest two year snowfall total anyone alive today has ever experienced. (Anyone alive back in 1932 would likely have been very young)
  15. The Gfs for next Saturday is like a microcosm of this nino winter. The positive aspects are outweighed by the negative. This winter had plenty of SS vorts to provide moisture, unfortunately the tendency for NS vorts to stay north was amplified more so, preventing any phasing below our latitude. Hope this makes somewhat sense.
  16. IMHO, the 90's TWC graphics overall were sharper and less washed out than today.
  17. Bit of a melancholy anniversary, with how these last two winters have been. This storm is starting to feel the way November 1950 used to.
  18. Euro still interested in the 18th-19th time period. Op showing some fantasy snow.
  19. Euro is showing sufficient 700mb moisture tomorrow. So we could have a similar setup to the previous two lake enhanced events.
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