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CoraopolisWx

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Everything posted by CoraopolisWx

  1. It does seem a bit odd how the gfs moves the low due north that far before transferring.
  2. Euro still hanging on, but the the margin for error is so slim, this side of the transfer.
  3. 18z is even more extreme with the cutoff. During the transfer we could have pockets of different 850 temps, similar to last months morning slush event.
  4. Gfs can't decide between a bloated 850 low and a more compact version.
  5. Not a bad look overall, just gotta make sure that 850 low doesn't go any further north.
  6. I might be reading this incorrectly. But the long range ridging out west looks impressive, however the inverse trough seems more flat, stretching across the OV into the mid Atlantic. Would like to see that trough dig into the mid south at worst.
  7. Yeah, "patience on a monument" will be needed no doubt. I guess we can do some leftover yard and gutter cleaning while we wait. Lol
  8. Not many analog years for a second half February comeback. The only one that comes to mind is 1993. And even without the two big storms that season, we still managed about 35”.
  9. Folks are still optimistic about mid February based on the guidance. The 12z gfs even showed a little love at the end of the run.
  10. For that exact reason. It wasn’t an ideal track, but normally a late January storm like this provides something frozen. The gfs had this locked down 5 days ago.
  11. I know 20-21 is unrealistic to expect most years, but too often we’re like a mangy old dog rooting around a dumpster for scraps. SMH. Last night and today were kinda soul crushing.
  12. Yeah, the nam has been consistent in showing some back end pity snow. Would be nice to see the other models agree, but we’ll see.
  13. Still doing the research, but it seems the snowfall droughts are increasing. Yes, overall our average annual snowfall has increased these past 20+ years, however these past 10 years especially, we can go 15-20 days in between snowfalls 0.1" or more. In the past that number was never more than 8-10 days.
  14. Keeping the center of that 850 vort south of us might be too much to ask, however a more compact center could allow a quicker change over, and less dry slotting.
  15. Others on here are better at analysis, but I was reading in the mid Atlantic long range thread that in layman’s, the longer Canada torches, the longer it will take to reset back to a favorable pattern.
  16. Lol. Just saw that. Unfortunately in this instance the official records are taken north of the airport itself. The terminal probably had close to 4”, based on that band yesterday evening.
  17. Next weekend is really close to something, with the right placement and timing.
  18. Wow, that 576 corridor is getting crushed. Usually the best bands set up around the turnpike. Nice to see the south and west areas get in on the action.
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