weatherpruf

We had the -EPO and we don't have that now. I don't think this will amount to much. But who knows. Note; I don't actually know what the EPO is but I've read enough about it here to know it's what caused the snowy winters of those years despite lack of -NAO ( IIRC....)

I've no confidence in this event, but in a way since my son has to drive to the Bronx Zoo tomorrow for a class I kinda hope it peters out. Which means we probably get 4 inches no one prepared for in the roads dept....

it was remarkably close and had my area right on the 6-8 line most of the time, we wound up with a narrow swath of 7-8, just across the Kill in SI they had 9. We almost never overperform here. With snow disappearing so fast these days, I wonder why bother to clean it that well? And I didn't. I do the driveway and walks to make em usable, but don't fuss over it. Most times, it's all gone in a week.

Plain rain in Woodbridge and am hoping it stays that way until the precip moves out.

That does not look like something to ignore even in the immediate metro, though not sure if the impact is as long based on what I have read; sounds like some glazing toward the end of the event? Really thought it was something we didn't have to be worried about down here. Your thoughts?

Depends. If you're driving and there's even a slight glaze, that's a problem. Hoping that won't be the case. People do drive in the city. It's a mess on a good day.

This seems like a bad outcome to me. Hopefully it won't verify. Even a little ice is bad news. One other thing about some of the ice events over the years, the temps warmed up as the day wore on; seems here dropping temps are the problem, no? That would be bad.

I lose power in most major events, and I live near SI on the NJ side....I haven't lost power in ice, but in all of the big hurricanes/tropical storms and in the October 2011 snowstorm. This has to do with downed trees mostly. So the ice has to be pretty bad to bring down trees, and I don't think that's happened in awhile. Curiously, the block in back of me usually doesn't lose power. Haven't lost power in winter, though that Oct storm was winter temps, but not enough to freeze pipes. It's such a threat I have installed water pressure backup pumps for sump pumps, since we typically do not lose water ( though one town did from some reason during Sandy, according to the contractor who installed it ).

LOL I used to work at the Essex County Youth House. I'd call NYC schools for the records of some kid and they'd be like, where are you calling from? I'd say Essex County, ummm, Newark? Ok, they'd heard of Newark....

Once again though we are trying to predict what will happen several days out, and we won't know the outcome till what, Friday? So I'm watching this one because my son has a class at the Bronx Zoo Saturday and commutes from CNJ. They probably don't cancel if there isn't a strong consensus, and that could be a mistake.

Hopefully. Who needs ice and power outages in mid-winter? No one. Since this area is generally predictable with weather types, I expect a cold rain with maybe some period of ice but nothing too bad for our region, but it's too soon to say.

Mitch, i think we actually had two in 94, the first was more a snow with ice on top, the second was a legit rare ice event ( the first may have been Dec 93 IIRC but I am in NJ and maybe it didn't affect the city, but that ice storm def did ).

A glazing is possible in the immediate suburbs at times and even this is hazardous; if it warms up then it's only a brief problem. But it can cause a lot of serious problems in the meantime.

A combination of all three is possible and I believe it happened in one of the ice storms of 94, where actually it even snowed briefly before changing to sleet then rain then freezing rain.

Well we have managed a hair above normal for this time of year in bad conditions in Newark area, and while the storm was only about 4-8 inches in areas west of the city ( my BIL in ME called that a dusting but even they only got about a foot; they weren't in the epicenter either ) it was enough to push us to about where we should be for now, so there's no denying it's possible to see some more events. They may not be big, but honestly a normal snow is enough for most.

Ant would a south shift bring us more ice, rain or sleet....this doesn't seem likely to involve any snow right?

Seems like most of the metro got something out of it. Would've liked around a foot, got close to 8. I'll take a bunch of 6-8 all winter if I could get them.....2014 comes to mind.

All over now but the sound of snowblowers in the neighborhood; I still have to clean some of the cars and the additional 1.5 that fell after initial cleaning. That's on the wife and son. He's 24. As for my daughter at 19, fuggedabouit. She does have 2 herniated discs from a fall which she is using as an excuse to avoid, well, everything, including dishes......

I've got some drifts too....but they are closer to 5 inches! Ok, more like 10 inches.....

Great job reporting.

Snow has stopped and we seem to be done here. Max of 6-8 inches widespread in Middlesex County area from reports here. Don't know for a fact if anyone actually hit 8 but someone probably did.

Yeah if it was a widespread 6-10 it would be one thing, but seeing monstrous amounts within driving distance does take the wind out of things. But it is still a good event in an otherwise boring winter. Got to use some of the winter gear. Took a nice ride; area was deserted. People have come to life now and are out and about; we are still snowing a little better than before, but again not enough to make a big difference at this juncture. My wife actually prefers we stay around 3-6, more than that its a PIA she thinks. But the consensus seems to be around 6-8 here, most of which fell at night.

It's a bit frustrating to always be on that line; if it's cold enough for all snow, we're too far west. Storm comes west, we mix. Last year our totals were cut in the big storm by the sleet; Topped out at 18 but areas north did a lot better.

You are the go to guy for Metuchen....we needed those overnight bands to hang on a little longer. But it's still a nice snow and I will take a stroll in either Merrill or Roosevelt later just for the atmosphere. It really is a nice pond and I'm sure the skating rink will be open. At least we didn't kill ourselves with cleanup.

it's hard to measure and I may even have more than 6, but with the blowing around and small flakes. And that 6 all probably fell overnight. Daytime production in our areas has been pitiful. But there were plenty of models that showed about this much for us, some less, and more than a few showed a lot more. I will say that it was not as bad as the shutout of 2/6/10, because we do have plowable snow. It's more like Jan 2015 or Feb 2013 ( in that one we weren't expecting it so it was all gravy IIRC ).