weatherpruf

We will take a normal snow event that doesn't flip to rain or get eaten up by dry air. A solid 4-6 would be good.

Got my storms mixed up. There were 3 big ones that winter in about a month. Gettin old.

I think I may have it confused with another one in Jan....we had 3 that year, and one of them ( this might be it ) delivered more toward NE. There was one where we got almost 20 in CNJ. Someone here will know. It was a snow to rain and back to heavy snow situation. Nothing happened after Jan except a wicked ice storm in Feb. And a vicious rainstorm in March.

Now by memory, it seemed like it was over by evening. Mostly because I spent several hours of daylight just following the tailights of the car in front of me, because I could not see a thing in that heavy snow.

That was almost a HECS, almost 20 inches. I don't think this is. It would be a storm for the ages if it hadn't followed Boxing Day a few weeks prior.

That was a beast, but it was a weekday and hit at the worst possible time, around 10 am when everyone was at work already, after several mild snowless winters, and in a time when the forecasting was not apocalyptic. Few people had four wheel drive or snow tires, and the SUV had not been invented yet. Minivans were this new odd thing. In short, a lot of people, like me, had rear wheel drive dinosaurs with bad traction, and the snow came in like a white wall. Offices panicked and let everyone leave by noon, creating a complete snag on the interstates. People abandoned cars on the GSP and the state police towed them away. In the end it was about a foot or less in a short period and was chaos. It would be the last significant storm in CNJ until 1993.

I think they moved out west years ago.

With this much waffling I'm going with either a mix to rain for the coast while inland does better with snow, or maybe a snowier solution for the coast, or perhaps rain and sleet reaching further inland. That's my final forecast. Highpoint NJ gets the most in NJ.

Jan 2015?

I knew I shouldn't have gotten my pack boots out of storage. This has cold rain written all over it for Middlesex Co NJ and east of the NJTPK. Seen it a hundred times. It's why I said yesterday I'd hold my horses. Anyway, I could do with a good washing away of all this interminable salt,which they are laying down already due to the dusting last night.

This is Sunday night? It's only Thursday. You guys had me for a sec....there's a lot to go wrong yet. Seen it over and over. I'd hold my horses for a day or two. Let's see what happens.

" It will come down to nowcasting." There, i saved you all the trouble of having to mention this again.

We struggled here, as we always do in those coastal type set ups. Our last good hit here was last Feb, which was a surprise. Decent storm. 10-12 inches.

We still seem to be be flirting with drought. That's a problem.

I bought a huge LL Bean down parka in the fall of 1990. I didn't need it til 94.....

I taught in Ocean county and HS started at 7;15 and the kids were dismissed at 1;20. This was because nearly all the kids were bussed. I was expected to stay until 2, but back in those days it was still ok for a teacher to leave if they had no classes to teach. Now they give you an ankle bracelet at the beginning of the day. Glad to be retired.

If they have a lot of bussed students, they have to stagger times to have enough transportation. Special ed students often start even earlier because they often have to travel to schools across town, as there aren't programs in every school. Some even have to travel to other districts an hour away.

SIL just sent me pics of it snowing in Kennesaw GA. In my anecdotal experience, when the South gets good snows, it's usually a dud winter around here. 2002 comes to mind.

This is true for older students, who actually need more rest. Younger kids can start earlier.

When I began teaching in the late 80s there were a lot of mid career teachers who had been working when they kept daylight savings time in the early 70s to save on energy ( IIRC ). One told me they'd sit there in first period and watch the sunrise....no one liked it one bit.

They can't afford the property taxes.

I think the last good winter here was 2021; we can hope for is one or two decent events, like last year. Don't need 60 inches to make a good winter IMO.

We had a downed pole on route 9 yesterday that remained closed all day, snarling traffic to the NJTPK into Manhattan because the high winds precluded the linesmen from proper repairs. What a mess.

Odd

Medicine is also an art; I remember a doctor telling me my labs were fine but I looked like crap. I was like, is that your second opinion? ( all hail Rodney Dangerfield ).