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Mark McIntyre

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Everything posted by Mark McIntyre

  1. Mark McIntyre
    Currently 41° with Td of 39° along with some very light rain. T850 appears to have remained the same compared to a few hours ago, although those isotherms have tightened a bit...T925 has warmed ever so slightly. Would be happy if the HRRR verified with its 9-10PM changeover.
  2. Mark McIntyre
    Yep the persistent (albeit light) southeast wind is not a friend to us coastal folk.
  3. Mark McIntyre
    Staten Island is 40° with a Td of 36° as of 3:15PM. I remember over the weekend that the later start for NYC was depicted by the short-range guidance, which seems to be verifying. The brief bursts of flurries early this morning were a cruel tease.
  4. Mark McIntyre
    Another tiny area of precip appears to be blossoming on radar just SW of Edison/Plainfield - let's see if I get clipped with any drizzle/flurries. NYS Mesonet sensor at CSI reporting 40° with Td of 35°. 850 hPa & 925 hPa temps are both subzero, it's just the surface that's cooked.
  5. Mark McIntyre
    Staten Island is at 38° with Td of 32°. Any flurries that were falling seem to have stopped for the moment as best returns look to be over Boonton now.
  6. Mark McIntyre
    Now at 35° with a Td of 30°.
  7. Mark McIntyre
    Radar "looks" good for Staten Island right now, but all I have are just a few lightly falling flurries. NYS Mesonet site at College of Staten Island has us at 33° with a Td of 27°.
  8. Mark McIntyre
    Had a brief round of flurries about 10 minutes ago on Staten Island (currently in Richmondtown). Looking at radar, just across the Arthur Kill River, are nicer returns just west of the Turnpike
  9. Mark McIntyre
    All teleconnections looks great going forward. If the Pacific jet relaxes we'll be in business.
  10. Mark McIntyre
    Was it this one? The 06z Sat run?
  11. Mark McIntyre
    Yep DC gonna get shlammered
  12. Mark McIntyre
    Really digging this look on the Euro
  13. Mark McIntyre
    And again brutally cold behind the storm, although just ever slightly less so compared to 00Z
  14. Mark McIntyre
    Appears the max ZR shifted southeast but would still be absolutely devastating for much of area
  15. Mark McIntyre
    New Euro coming out...gets ugly again
  16. Mark McIntyre
    Did wake up late and saw that I had received a coating here on Staten Island, my street was covered and of course car tops were too. All gone now even without full sunshine
  17. Mark McIntyre
    So painfully, painfully close. You can see that northern stream culprit over Maine & New Brunswick spoiling the party.
  18. Mark McIntyre
    Think this is the storm you're talking about. Trying to dig up surface obs but Plymouth State & Iowa State don't go back far enough.
  19. Mark McIntyre
    It's funny I don't remember that 1994 ice storm but I remember the 1993 Superstorm. As for this Euro run, it does go back to big snow totals with next weekend's storm. Please forgive me but I can't remember if this particular output includes sleet/ice pellets in the snow accumulation.
  20. Mark McIntyre
    Yep verbaitm EURO is a devastating ice storm. I went through the December 12th 2008 ice storm in Albany. Don't want to get anywhere close to that again. It then wants to take temps subzero right after the storm.
  21. Mark McIntyre
    Welp the 00Z Euro is back to a zany solution. Slower and way more amped. Also gives nearly 1.0" of ice to NYC.
  22. Mark McIntyre
    Got home an hour ago from a double shift in Manhattan - noticed the clouds and the smell of snow in the air. SI should be the place to be as far as NYC is concerned for this storm
  23. Mark McIntyre
    Sitting here at home on Staten Island, after a double shift on forecasting a "non-storm" for NYC but knowing SI stands best chance...congrats on getting NAM'd. Hope you all have enough beer!
  24. Mark McIntyre
    GOES-16 water vapor loop already getting better by the minute
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