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Mark McIntyre

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Everything posted by Mark McIntyre

  1. Mark McIntyre
    Agreed, it is evident that Don has a strong grasp of statistics & probability. The probability may be accounting for what some may see as "guessing" but I see it as pure mathematics. It's impossible for medium/long-range weather forecasts to be deterministic. Don is one of the best & most cautious posters, and his posts come come off as the farthest thing from a weenie.
  2. Mark McIntyre
    SI's Mesonet site reporting 12°F, feels balmy now that the winds have died down
  3. Mark McIntyre
    Interesting little fact about today - it seems all 6 official climate sites tied/set records for the lowest maximum temperature: Central Park - Previous Record 16°F; Observed 16°F LGA - Previous Record 21°F; Observed 17°F JFK - Previous Record 23°F; Observed 17°F ISP - Previous Record 23°F; Observed 17°F BDR - Previous Record 24°F; Observed 18°F EWR - Previous Record 17°F; Observed 17°F
  4. Mark McIntyre
    According to Staten Island's Mesonet site at CSI, 2-m temperature bottomed out at 1.6° in the 7AM hour. It has since warmed up to 6°F.
  5. Mark McIntyre
    Down to 6°F on Staten Island.
  6. Mark McIntyre
    Staten Island down to 7°F, Td is -16°F, wind chill -13°F. Still gusting to 36 mph
  7. Mark McIntyre
    Radar can show many non-meteorological objects - insects, birds, smoke and so on. That's why you can't just rely on an app, lol
  8. Mark McIntyre
    Staten Island at 9°F, dewpoint of -16°F, wind chill of -12°. Just a tad chilly.
  9. Mark McIntyre
    You sure? I just checked radar and it appears to be from the Marcal Paper fire in Elmwood Park, NJ. Dual pol indicates non-meteorological returns
  10. Mark McIntyre
    Winds really cranking now. W 27 mph gusting to 44 mph. Temp down to 13°F with wind chill of -7°F
  11. Mark McIntyre
    A few pics from the start & height of the squall, as well as one of tonight's gorgeous sunset
  12. Mark McIntyre
    Staten Island's Mesonet site is reporting 15°F, Td of -5°F, winds from the west at 18 mph with 35 mph gusts, and a wind chill of -2°F. Absolutely frigid right now, can't wait for tomorrow morning
  13. Mark McIntyre
    Temperature on Staten Island now down to 22.
  14. Mark McIntyre
    Absolutely ripping here on Staten Island
  15. Mark McIntyre
    Snow has commenced on Staten Island
  16. Mark McIntyre
    These lapse rates are absolutely ridiculous
  17. Mark McIntyre
    Staten Island Mesonet reporting 32° with a Td of 9°. Winds starting to pick up as well, gusting to 26 mph. Clouds have increased quite a bit too.
  18. Mark McIntyre
    Temp down to 35 now, baby steps in the right direction I guess
  19. Mark McIntyre
    You’re right, got pretty much zilch going on right now
  20. Mark McIntyre
    Temp now down to 36 with light rain, and west wind 6 mph
  21. Mark McIntyre
    Thanks!
  22. Mark McIntyre
    What do you suspect is the reasoning for this massive "dry slot" on this particular run of the HRRR? Something inherently flawed with the model?
  23. Mark McIntyre
    Looks like mixing line is just about east of SI...we shall see what happens!
  24. Mark McIntyre
    Light, annoying, dreary cold rain continues on Staten Island. Interestingly, temp has dropped from 41.1 as of 6:50PM to 38.8 now, and winds are now out of the west.
  25. Mark McIntyre
    Yep within the past hour and a half or so my winds on Staten Island have gone from SE to SW. Not ideal, but better than off Lower NY Bay.
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