Allsnow

Thinking @forkyfork is correct with trend leveling off 

Gfs 3-5 Saturday morning 

3 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

What do you think for me in interior northern Ocean? Models have been kind but officially it’s all rain. Thermals will for sure be an inhibitor. 1-3 on grass realistic? Not sure what to expect at this point. 

1-3 but I could see you getting more then that if it switches earlier 

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Should we use 10:1 or kuchie maps ?

 

Haha. Idk 

3-6 is a good forecast for NYC 

Bleeding stopped with the gfs. Big hit nyc and north jersey

Wow 

1 minute ago, forkyfork said:

he waffles with every single model run. it was brutal before the jan 2022 storm 

100%. Its very bizarre for such a educated person 

4 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Same guy said Albany would get more snow then nyc 

19 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

That's probably all from the storm tomorrow. In the more immediate short term after that, looks like temps are around normal for the foreseeable future, but temps in 40s (as we head towards that time of year), aren't going to cut it, as far as snow prospects go. Looks like the western ridge pulls back a bit, with a trough in the Central US that won't work for most of this region. 

No 

@bluewave we need a north trend 

Snow mean on the eps today is 10 for nyc 

HRRR coming in hot 

Models have overrunning on Saturday 

CMC crushes the city 

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Wow for nyc 

Nam being north leads me to believe the euro is out to lunch 

3 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Then the question becomes is how much snow will actually accumulate in a place like NYC if the HRRR forecast of 34° to 35° is correct when the changeover back to snow occurs?

 

Looks like nyc has a good shot at 4+ in a hostile pattern 

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The forcing hanging out further west is creating more of a Niña-like 500 mb pattern to go with the raging El Niño STJ. So instead of suppression the storm track risk is too far north with P-Type issues. That why models now have a bunch of storm tracks racing through the Great Lakes through New England.

Thoughts about tomorrow? South trend continues? 

23 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Pattern doesn't look good after this week right now

This why the pattern went to crap…mjo collapsing and leaning towards p4