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Allsnow

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Posts posted by Allsnow

  1. 8 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

    18Z Euro is trying hard, drops over .30 liquid at JFK.  I think what is happening on some ensembles and some model runs now is that the the next system digging down into the SRN plains may be pumping the SER downstream which causes the late north push of the first wave.  I had said yesterday sometimes these setups there can be late push N that gets eastern parts of the area but this may be aiding by the trailing system

    It helped that a stronger piece of energy came out of the sw 

  2. 10 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

    As of 6 PM you have to be north of I80 if you want to find snow in PA.  The only exception is Fort Indiantown Gap which is reporting flurries.  Everyone else is reporting ice / sleet/ wintry mix or rain.  All Pittsburgh reporting sites are reporting thunderstorms.  

    I was more referring to how the radar looked not the placement of the rain/snow line 

    • Like 1
  3. 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    Maybe for NYC, but it looks fine for this area....give me the -PNA, especially after January.

    Your biggest issue is if the -pna is too deep out west. You need something to redevelop similar to tonight. But if that block is further north it will hold on to the primary longer 

  4. 4 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said:

    personally I find it very hard to believe there isn't going to be a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down

    ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_norm_anom-9534400.thumb.png.50079582a5d011a9cff9116b6e33adf2.png

    The block is to far north and the pv is not south of Hudson Bay. You need that with a -pna and se ridge 

    • Confused 1
  5. 3 minutes ago, Yanksfan said:

    Agreed. If there’s one model I trust the most it would be the EURO AI. It’s been spot on this winter. It has the Wednesday storm gradually trending north. I don’t have access to snow maps but it looks like it has a few inches in our area with more down in central and southern Jersey.

    Agreed. Every model has trended towards it inside 5 days 

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