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Posts posted by Allsnow
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2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:
Congrats! This has been happening lately where a storm misses me just to the south and hits you hard. I've been having bad luck with the strong storms missing me just to the south here in the extreme northern part of the County, but at least I got enough rain in recent days.
Strongest wind I have ever experienced in a thunderstorm
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Numerous trees down
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Just as some wicked winds
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Down burst!!!
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2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:
More storms back in PA
Yes!!!
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Very windy as the storm approaches
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Just now, Rtd208 said:
Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued here.
Let’s go!!!
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Storms looks like it’s coming directly for my are a
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22 hours ago, Allsnow said:
Looks like it will make it to 12 years
very few areas hit 100 down there
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Radar looks good southeast of us
Mesoscale Discussion 1653
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0135 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024Areas affected...Eastern Pennsylvania into Northern Maryland...New Jersey...and far Southern New York
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 161835Z - 162030Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm watch may be needed later this afternoon for storms capable of 60-70 MPH wind gusts.
DISCUSSION...Visible satellite trends and short-term WoFS guidance suggests that thunderstorm activity should increase over Central and Eastern Pennsylvania this afternoon, bringing a threat primarily for damaging straight-line winds. These storms are expected to progress eastward into New Jersey and far southern New York.
Surface observations show a hot, dry boundary-layer in place over the highlight area, with surface temperatures in the upper 90s F to low 100s F and dewpoints in the upper 60s F to low 70s F. These conditions have resulted in MLLCL heights of around 2-3 km and low-level lapse rates that are dry adiabatic beneath the LCL. Additionally, the better deep-layer wind shear supportive of organized convection is confined to northern and central PA, suggesting that the primary threat is for damaging winds from disorganized to weakly-organized multi-cell clusters. Weather watch issuance may be needed later this afternoon.
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26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:
No hyperbole, but likely 70+ dews into September. Just stand out there with open arms in the air..letting the dews take you away.
So not looking forward to 4 months of fall starting in December
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8 minutes ago, Tatamy said:
Big bust on the HRRR for storms modeled for last night in eastern PA and northern NJ.
I know the pain, your area should do better today
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3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:
Still upper 80s but dews in the 50s so won't feel bad
Humidity returns next week?
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2 hours ago, winterwarlock said:
Uadvertised storms..one mid afternoon and one overnight brought over a half inch in my area. Now about 1.5 inches for the last 5 days so it looks like we are in full cutting mode as the weeds esoecially crabgrass will now be non stop til late September
Yup, very little talk or hype. Best storms of the season here locally
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1.24 total here of much needed rain. It probably all came in about 20-30 minutes
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More convection to my west! I’ll probably be over 2 inches today
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6 minutes ago, psv88 said:
Upton has a 1% chance of rain out here…
You’re to far from the best trigger today. Expect nothing
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Just now, Rtd208 said:
It's always the days you least expect it.
Facts
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Just now, Stormlover74 said:
More activity to the west
This is our moment
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More rain in 20 minutes with a slight risk then Friday and Saturday combined
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July 2024
in New York City Metro
Posted
We either had a tornado or straight line winds. 911 is backed up