daxx

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

This. I think as recently as the middle of last week, most of us were certainly aware of what was going on but at the time it seemed more like a nuisance...it was really towards the end of last week that we quickly reached the "oh sh*t" point. 

I'm not going to lie I downplay things at first, that is just my nature. This has my attention now!

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

I am in construction right now but the corporate side of it.   If they shut down our job sites I cannot see the company staying open (furlough). 

We can only hope this ends quick, but I just don't see this happening. It is really crazy to see how the whole world changed in 10 days.

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

The way I understand it all construction sites had to shut down today with the Governors order so if that cascades to other states construction is going to be a HUGE furlough target.  

Yea...I am so glad to be out of construction. I was in housing construction for 16 years. When it's booming times are great, but after 2008 I would never want to get back into it again.

7 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

after today, my son, myself and possibly my daughter, will all be filing for unemployment.....likely (hopefully) temporary, but this is not good.

 

Sorry to hear this.  I know what it's like to be unemployed.  I was in construction back in  2008.  It was a real struggle for years until I got the job I have now.  I hope you and your family are working soon.

5 minutes ago, canderson said:

It follows other states.

Bars, restaurants, casinos, theaters, etc close. If they can offer TOGO they do that but no guests. 

If you think a national shutdown isn’t going to happen you need to read up on virus. We had a chance to contain this weeks ago and dodged responsibility. 

Our agency is closed but we are working remotely.

I really don't want to get into this but... We would have had to basically shutdown travel in and out of our country back in December to even have a chance to not have this situation. With world wide travel this was bound to show up here. I'm sure there were cases here well before the first reported case.  You cant really come up with an exact time we should have shut the country down.  The longer the country is in shutdown, the ones that are not financially ready for this will be in serious trouble. If you ask me the lack of testing weeks ago is what really hurt.

I believe everyone's concerns are valid, health or economic side.  No one should criticize anyone for being scared or worried right now.  What I find annoying is the blame game, this does not help a damn thing!  When this is over we can look back and see where we went right or wrong.

35 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I just use the word storm interchangeably with a precip event.  I will say that this area is only 4 years removed from a super Hec's so its not like it has been decades since a big snow. 

Yes...2016 was the last time we had a Hec's and 2012 was our last real shit winter,so yea we are winning!

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

.4" seems to be the number for this storm.  If someone gets that total I will marvel at the prognostication abilities of those that called for it.  

Can really call it a storm? It has been so bad that getting .4" is now a snowstorm.  Lol  Next year 3 inches will be a hecs.

7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

It took me a long time...way too long, but I'm there now as well. It's just too nice to go back. .4" isn't going to mean anything going forward anyway. 

Agree! Lets put this long lasting spring behind us.  Fall is only six months away.

2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Most of Lanco (including Lancaster proper) did not - I live just a mile or so from the Suskie in extreme western Lancaster county and was able to cash in on the same banding that @daxx did over in eastern York. I've had 9.6" for the season with 5.2" of it from one event. 

I had 5.9” from that event.  I am at 10.2” for the season. I’m ready for thunderstorms.  I could care less if I see any snow at this point.  Unless it’s a big one. 

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Hmm, didn't realize that. You might not even need your AC on today. 

It’s crazy how it almost feels like January again!  The never ending spring. 

Just now, canderson said:

Aside from a little rain Tuesday the whole week looks to be in the mid to upper 50s and sunny.  IMO winter is dead, enjoy spring before humidity arrives. 

We have had a very nice spring since December 18th.  There should be no complaints about going from winter, straight to summer this year.

Some flakes mixing in with the rain here.  A couple degrees cooler and we could have had a nice coating here. Still hoping for a burst of snow sometime tonight. 

4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

It would be the most ironic thing in recorded weather history if the GFS 12z happened verbatim as depicted...

On the above scenario, BOS, NYC and PHL all receive > 20" of snow. That has NEVER happened in recorded history from the same storm. Ever. 

For it to happen on this, of all years, in this, of all patterns...

There's a first time for everything, right?  

The euro says nah!

22 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I think Horst has reached stage 1 on the throw-in-the-towel meter. He acknowledged today that while we might see a nuisance snow add onto our nuisance seasonal total...the chances of something significant are going...going...

GONE!!

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Is that one of those cabins with second floor doors so you can get out?

 

No...this is rancher but I have seen several of those in the area.  

Just now, pawatch said:

Dax

We need to make a group trip up to New York for some of that kind of fun.

Thats some crazy snow totals.

For sure! I stay in a real nice cabin up there. It sleeps 10 people. I have stayed at several places but I finally found the sweet spot. I have also seen snow depths over 7 feet up there.  

1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Reading that thread today and it sure seems like there's a lot of panic going on. 

You have to remember most of those guys don't live on the Tug.  Could you imagine getting 6 inches and only 10 miles away getting 4 feet! Lol

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Personally I thought the days when @daxx posted sweet notes from the Euro around this time were a bit more romantic.

 

 

Trust me Bubbler I would love to do that, but this Winter is just a giant turd around here.  I am so glad I traveled to the Tug a couple weeks ago to get a taste of true Winter.

I have stayed at many places on the Tug.  The best location I have stayed is 4120 townline road Lorraine N.Y.  It is on airbnb. I'm not sure about availability right now.

Blizzard Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1258 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020

NYZ006>008-270200-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.W.0004.200227T1200Z-200229T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.BZ.W.0001.200227T1200Z-200228T2100Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
1258 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 4 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  3 to 4 feet across the Tug Hill Plateau, and 1 to 2 feet for
  surrounding lower elevations. Winds gusting as high as 50 to 60
  mph will result in severe blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Thursday to 4 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of
  blowing snow will produce near zero visibility. The hazardous
  conditions will impact the morning and evening commutes Thursday
  and Friday. Strong winds could cause some tree damage and
  scattered power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong winds will cause significant blowing and drifting snow,
frequently reducing visibilities to zero. Travel is strongly
discouraged. 

Im willing to bet someone in northeast Oswego county and southeastern Jefferson county receive 50 plus inches!

Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

And that's kind of indication of how piss poor the winter has been, correct? In a normal winter the lake effect machine would have shut off long ago due to the lakes being frozen...not this winter. 

Not Ontario, very rare it freezes over.  That’s why the Tug Hill gets so much snow!  Erie freezes up quick.  It’s very shallow.  

Late this week the Tug Hill will be slammed! Hopefully paweather booked the house that I emailed him. 

2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Since we have nothing to talk about other than home heating ideas, how do we feel about realistic chances for snow before we call this godawful season finished once and for all?

For my yard I'm going to guess I have a 25% chance of measurable snow, and a 10% chance of more than 3". 

Other guesses?

40/5

27 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Maybe Itstrainingtimeinmaytown uses a stove as well.  He probably told me as such before.  We use 3 different kinds of heat at different times.  Oil, electric and a propane fireplace.  Keep it around 67.

 

I'm sure he meant turning it up from his normal setting.