SchaumburgStormer

My wife just asked how much snow to expect. I told her I was calling 8” as my best guess right now for a number. She replied “is that in man inches or real inches” and I have never felt so attacked. 

2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

 

I wonder how big of a royalty bump Annie Lennox sees every winter from having her music linked in these threads. Probably getting an extra McDouble with all these hits from the board 

1 minute ago, nwohweather said:

What in the world...

NAM doing NAM things 

Just now, mimillman said:

Actually temps aloft are colder than prior runs 

Low takes a slightly more northerly route but the WTOD stay a bit further SE. 

If I’m LOT, I’m hoisting WSW for the 88 corridor and north, and WWA for the area south. Then just have to see how the chips fall

Euro ticked north through IL

1 minute ago, Baum said:

stared at snow in the lights for hours as a kid. Best Christmas gift at 5 was a weather radio. checked out every tornado/hurricane book in the library in grade school-at once. They came looking for me. By college I was calling and talking to skilling about every incoming storm. Dude, took about every call. By early adulthood I despised the late great Jerry Taft and his 1-3" storm calls....than the internet came and I discovered this chaotic lunacy.

I remember putting spotter reports into ILX via AOL Instant Messenger, lol. Grew up watching twister, and discovered the joy of the message board shortly before GHD1

47 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

Fr I like your call of 8ish but this is so silly again, I was hoping for a slam dunk kind of situation just once. Oh well, unless things go super north and warm after all I think we're in a better spot than the majority of posters here sooo

I feel good, not great about my 8” call. Lots of paths for underperformance but also a similar number of paths for a double digiter

Love having a huge storm incoming that we will basically have to nowcast.

4 minutes ago, mimillman said:

Yes

Tossing one of the more consistent models thus far is a bold call, although I would not take its snow output verbatim near the lake.

6 minutes ago, Weather Mike said:

I like at least how still the GFS and Euro are not NW and more in agreement give or take a little unlike the NAM etc. 

See what the 12Z shows. 

The NAM was abysmal. It was caving as the storm was ongoing. 

Just now, mnchaserguy said:

Looks like pretty much all the CAMs have the nw track. Only the long range globals are holding on to the se track. A few years ago clinging to the euro might’ve made sense but it is not the king model it used to be. Having said that I probably just jinxed Minneapolis out of any snow.


.

Most of the short range models were too far NW with the last storm at this range, fwiw

2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

hoping that cold underperforms, extended looks zzzzz

Was really getting used to this “cutter every 4 days” pattern… 

1 minute ago, Weather Mike said:

What a difference this close to the event on these two model runs from Milwaukie to CHI

The screw hole of all screw holes.

Still liking 8” imby. Huge upside if things work out. 

Verbatim, widespread 12-15” totals across the entire metro 

immediate lakeshore notwithstanding 

Euro is an absolute beast for N IL 

NAM still trying to show good snows north of I-80 even with the odd path. Ends right for the wrong reasons 

All of LOT is rain at hr 45. That would fuck the forecast a bit 

Looked like it would slide ENE out of MO, but it flipped the bird and kept driving north towards Bloomington 

3 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

NAM starting to baby step back south 

Or… just kidding 

NAM starting to baby step back south 

Man the 18z GFS is absolutely juiced. Widespread 1.5”+ QPF. Even at 8 or 9:1, this would be a widespread foot for most of LOT. With the progged winds, would be a bitchin blizzard 

Going to be an all time glacier once the snowpack freezes solid in a 7:1 ratio mass. 

Euro a little deeper than the GFS, but also a bit further east so it kind of cancels out. Another huge QPF total going to "waste" with shitty ratios. 

Still snowing in N Michigan.