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coastalplainsnowman

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Everything posted by coastalplainsnowman

  1. Can’t believe we are *20* years out from the crazy March 2001 heartbreaker. Yes, some folks cashed in, some pretty well, but still a heartbreaker for most. The two decades to follow have more than made up for it though. 20 years ago - incredible.
  2. I never would have guessed that summer of 1977, sandwiched between a solid and severe winter, and in the middle of talk of a new ice age, would be among the warmest winters.
  3. This is awesome. Although I have to admit I am now so conditioned to the current TWC format that I keep waiting to hear Jim Cantore's voice. If only there was the earlier version of this with the all purple background and simple white all caps font. Remembering when we'd have a Winter Storm Warning and the background would be red and the warning would scroll, sometimes playing right over the voices of the mets who were back on air. This is bringing me back!
  4. Been plain rain here from the start, far as I know. Uncommon (unfortunate) rain/snow line for sure. Scrolling back I see northern Nassau was getting good snow at least for awhile, and seeing Levittown apparently was snow too. Few minutes drive from there to here and I don't think we saw a flake here.
  5. Layman's question on this - please folks don't put me on blast.. Speaking of late February sun, I've noticed over the years that when there's a storm threat in March and someone makes mention of the fact that snowfall under marginally thick cloud cover will have trouble accumulating, it seems to be met with ridicule. Obviously sun angle starts playing a larger role in heating up the ground, just as you mention, and we see how quick the snow disappears, increasingly as we go through March. So why references to sun angle met with such reaction? Or is that type of reaction only in response to folks saying that it categorically can't snow, which of course would be silly. Thanks.
  6. The other interesting event in the 2010-2011 timeframe - not meteorological but still Mother Nature related - was the August 2011 earthquake. So in that crazy timespan we had huge snow including snow in October, historic heat, hurricane(s), and an earthquake.
  7. Roughly the same here based on spotter reports. Don't know if it's the old piles contributing to the look, the persistent glazing since about 2PM, or both, but after cleaning it up I can say that for 4" this thing definitely outpunched its weight class.
  8. Is the nature of this current Upton map (namely, the way the >6s are distributed) due to the fact that it is taking into account amounts which have already fallen?
  9. We need a poll after each event for the best new phrase capturing the sentiment "gosh, it's snowing really hard out right now." My vote is for "righteous poundage." Credit to whoever coined that one an hour ago.
  10. Lol optical illusion. At first I thought I was looking at a row of stores with apartments above, roof pitched down right to left, and a super ominous looking sky overhead, but that's probably just me. I bet you can't unsee it now.
  11. On the flip side, I wonder if anyone here remembers the nearly "reverse bust" that occurred one morning in either 1998 or 1999 (but I think 1998.) A threat that no one was really talking about at all materialized way offshore, but was enough to give Montauk a 14" blizzard (at least that's what the news was calling it) while there was literally nothing but cloudiness at the Nassau/Suffolk border. I still remember watching the radar over my dialup, amazed (and really aggravated) at how how well defined the cutoff was.
  12. Is the one that dropped 18" on Atlantic City and 12" on Montauk but missed NYC metro? I always remember it being later in the season.
  13. 20 years from now if you ask 100 people "Which of the above years had snow on May 9th", how many would correctly guess 2020.
  14. 48 here, foggy, drizzly. Snowpack is eroding *fast.* Lesson officially learned - no matter how dense, ice encrusted, glacial, etc. the snowpack looks, a few hours of foggy, drizzly upper 40s/low 50s will wipe most of it out.
  15. "If you live anywhere 30 miles or more NW, N or NE of NYC I’m not sure why you would expect March to be anything but another winter month which is what it is the far majority of the time. I guess some people on the coastal plain view it differently, but I’ve lived here most of my life and have never counted on extended warmer weather until late April the earliest. "

    For those of us on the coast we usually get the worst of both worlds in March and into April.  Sure we'll get some snow, a decent amount in some years, but to get anything that sticks around for more than a day is a rarity.  At the same time when N&W get some of those nice early spring fever days with temps into the upper 60s, we'll have the ocean breeze / backdoor cold fronts / whatever it's called that keep us in  the damp upper 40s here, which seems to nag us through Memorial day now and then.

    I like the snow as much as anyone, but once we're past about the time the clocks more forward, I'm ready for spring.  On that note, to folks like myself who have been around awhile and remember daylight savings starting in early and even late April, seeing snow falling  with the sun setting around 7PM is bizarre.

    Ok, ramble over..

     

     

  16. Just a comment: Usually when posters here say that they don't want extreme weather "x", I don't believe it, only because I don't believe it when those same words come out of my own mouth. Instinctively we all seem to actually want to see it no matter what we are saying/typing. Even ice storms - I say I don't want it, but when the temperature eventually gets above 32, and it turns to plain 'ol rain, and the ice starts melting off the cars, if I'm being honest I have to admit that I feel a little sad. That's a problem, right?
  17. It's got to be 1994, right? I was about to post the other day how for my frame of reference, which starts about 1979 (I remember the blizzard of 78 but just barely), no other year comes close to 1994 for number of days that side streets were snow and ice-packed. 1994 must've had, Iet's say 4-5 times as many days with snow and ice-packed side streets than whatever year comes in 2nd. 1996 and its legendary snow totals had quite a few warmups along the way. I remember hitting golf balls with a light jacket one day in mid February that year thinking 'this crazy winter is almost over', not realizing that we had a ways to go and that we'd go over 90 inches on April 10th, at least out in Brookhaven or thereabouts.
  18. Coming down pretty nicely here. I never learned how to eyeball light vs. med. vs. heavy, but I'll call this the low end of moderate.
  19. Not sure how much we got here - I'll leave it to the spotters, but I'm guessing between 6 and 8. A few thoughts: - A lot of lifetime snow enthusiasts were created today. Between the "hunkered down for the Super Bowl" mood, and the postcard-like snow, this sort of storm is probably the reason most of us are here. - The evening sun and bluish sky while it was still snowing (and accumulating) was a first. I don't know if there's such a thing as a "snowbow", but I thought I was about to find out. - Usually, regardless of the storm, I feel like the snow never accumulates like I expect it to. Today was the opposite. Much of the time the snow looked light, yet it was accumulating before my eyes. - To Walt and everyone else who started talking about this last Sunday, great job with your reasoned, thorough, enjoyable discussions. They are much better than I deserve to get for free, that's for sure. I only wish I'd asked for your predictions for SB 55. Have a great night all.
  20. Hey there SW Suffolk. We are right on the battle line at the moment. Literally each time I look up from my book the precip type is different but def trending snowier as cautiously expected. Intensity is up for sure now.
  21. Super light precip in SE Nassau by Sunrise. Mostly liquid with occasional wandering fat flake. Little intrusion of ‘green’ depicted well on snow/rain radar. Just an obs - I know we just started.
  22. I attribute it more to a combination of satisfaction and fatigue from last week's storm.. I know I feel it myself. 4-8, 3-6, heck 2-3 - if it was the first snow of the season, or if last week hadn't happened, it'd be busier here.
  23. Looking at the Upton's forecast and the Probabilistic Winter Weather Forecasts page, its interesting to see that there's almost no difference between the expected forecast and the 90% chance (high end) forecast, whereas the 10% chance (low end) forecast has most locations at zero, and only Montauk and Westhampton seeing 2". I always figured, not knowing any better that the 10 and 90% forecasts would typically reflect some sort of bell curve distribution, and while they are not always like that, this one struck me as unusual. Would be really interested in what skew means. From a layman's standpoint I assume it means that lot of things need to fall into place for this to pan out, but then why wouldn't the expected forecast number be lower? Would appreciate any insight. Thanks.
  24. I'm sure, but you're not supposed to say that out loud here On LI we always have that rain threat in the back of our minds, keeping us from truly enjoying the runup to the big events until they are halfway done. Even on this latest storm you can see how it is gonna do its darndest to get that four letter word into the picture.
  25. Anyone else find it interesting that despite the phenomenal seasonal snowfall totals we've had around here, even including 1995/1996, that we haven't cracked this list? Maybe because a lot of our recent great seasons have occurred without exceptional cold, and it's harder to thread the needle twice in a week in such conditions? Edit: I'll get back in my lane now lol
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