rochesterdave

2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

I really like late November timeframe for a retrograding low and lake enhancement south of Ontario. That blocking is legit. Very strong signal.

Retrograde lows allow The South shire to accumulate incredible amounts of qpf. We don’t need much to seed the lake process. It’s usually a late winter event. 

This is the feature I’ll be watching to give BUF a few hrs of SW flow. I have a great feeling for them. 

Yeah, I wouldn’t trust that if was an 18hr HRRR

1 minute ago, wolfie09 said:

Yea, wouldn’t be to confident with this look lol It’s 8-10 days away and models are showing two distinct events..

This looks like some sort of inverted trough , conveyer belt of moisture streaming in from the Atlantic..

I remember one like that, but not that localized. The S BUF and SYR boys would be on suicide watch. 

Hey Tim, Wofie, which euro provider did you go with? Weatherbell? 

Ive gotta up my game. I want access to the new 6/18z runs. Are you getting those? 

Wxbell was good because it also had some meso models if I recall correctly (doubtful). 

I’m getting at least 20” over the next 10 days. With the leaf piles I left and some creative side sticking- I could probably measure that right now.

We gotta watch the little feature slated for Tuesday. If we can get a little earlier interaction between the two pieces of energy, it’ll be west. 

Looking at deep cold on turkey day. There’s another small feature coming north of the lake. If it stays north, it will back the winds to SW. BUF, I smell something here! Good luck. 

40 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said:

I have serious doubts about the depth in Niagara County or the Enscarpment itself. There are areas that literally got nothing up there, seriously? How is that even possible?

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Looks like maybe a single wx reporter reporting zero. It has an odd circular shape (typically unusual). I’d think they must of had at least an inch or two? On the other hand, Niagara and Orleans are infamous snow holes and this year hasn’t had crap come off Erie on a SSW flow. Mostly elevation synoptic, WNW LES and our recent dump that left them shafted with sleet. 

Great map, otherwise. 

Matt! That is awesome. You are in an awesome area, it’s gonna be great to live vicariously through you!
I have a buddy with a camp on Brantingham Lake, you very far from there?


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2 hours ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:

3 ESE Irondequoit      4.3   642 AM 11/16  Trained Spotter

But somehow Dave got over a foot?  Dave go find this person and teach him how to measure, lol!

I was at my folks last night. In Pittsford/ Victor area. I went there because I knew they were in a better spot with this one. My measurements were In line with all the other measurements from that area. I’m sure areas in Ironndequoit did much, much worse. 

Glad you had a great event. I don’t know what your emotional problems are but you flip between being funny and a complete jerk by the minute. You randomly lash out at several members on this board. It’s more common when you’re busting- this storm you were winning. What gives? Get ahold of yourself. 

44 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

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Freak suggested my totals were fishy. Monroe county had from 3-14”. I was in the far SE corner last night. 12”. In line with other reports. 

1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said:

6 inches on the west side of Roc. My brother in victor says he has 14. I’m sure that’s slightly inflated but he was much closer to the sweet spot in this one. 

I don’t think he’s exaggerating much. At least a foot out this way. 

I’m 8 miles SE of there. Under that persistent band. It’s beautiful!

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Monroe finally got upgraded. Seeing as I have 9”, I suppose it was only a matter of time. 

Lol. Hate that sh..

Chillax Freak.  Everyone’s just enjoying the storm. 

Here comes the next wave for (gasp) MBY. 

This storm turned around in a hurry. Looks like the CNY boys are getting it good too!

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Monroe county may jackpot.

6” in Pittsford. Dumping

Damn is it coming down!! 1/10 mile visi. Big fat flakes. 5”