tombo82685
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Everything posted by tombo82685
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No, the FRAM maps. They are the best for freezing rain accrual. They take into consideration precip rate, wind speed, and wet bulb temp. While the ones on pivotal are just a straight how much qpf falls as zr, which won’t all accrual and will be less. -
What are the FRAM maps like?
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Think next threat to watch after clipper Saturday would be later next week in the thurs-sat period
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it has a feb 2015 look to it. That feb was heavily dominated by the pacific with a piss poor atlantic and arctic.
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Those maps are way more than what weatherbell has. Would assume counting sleet
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bit warmer or I guess just not as snowy, even though I think those maps are overdone any ways. Roc was 3.6 at 0z and went to 2.7 6z
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fwiw, the weatherbell gefs snow map is like half that of what you posted
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me thinks its counting a lot of it as sleet, but I'm sure there is some snow involved too
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That’s counting sleet as snow, fwiw. I’m sure there is some snow but some of that is sleet
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Welcome to my world lol
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-9/9 splits for today here
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Ukmet still a big hit for Buffalo and Rochester area
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gem is nw as I stated going off what we saw from rgem. Still dumps some accumulating snow in wny, and maybe a couple inches in north country
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yes, very close to it. Just stating the 12z ggem will most likely come nw.
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rgem a good bit more amped, still on colder side, but would think ggem comes in nw of 0z
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The gfs has not been that good as of late. Look back at the last 3 snow events in the east, it generally was last on board.
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Yes sir
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Yea that’s true, could be a wash. Doesn’t look worse. The fact that the eps at 6z improves told me it may of been better.
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fwiw, the ggem the last 31 days is 2nd best scoring model behind the euro. Ukmet 3rd and gfs 4th. Doesn't mean anything going forward as past performances don't dictate future ones. Something to note though.
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I would think it may of been a bit better. The 850s are close to 0z, but the main s/w is slower, imo that would mean more time for cold to push in allowing for a bit more frozen.
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yup, which makes me always think is it the rgem? But if you compare the two (rgem and ggem) on that site esp out further in time, they don't match up, they are different
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I actually think that might be 6z ggem. if you compare the two, they aren't the same the 6z rgem and 6z ggem
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Yea I know the gem collaboration wasn't 6z ggem.
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not sure if this is the 84 hr rgem, or legit ggem, but it says 6z ggem here https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?run=06&mode=latest&map=na&mod=cmc_gdps&lang=en
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thats not the 6z ggem, thats 0z. It says it at the bottom of the page. It goes 6z untill hr 48, then jumps to 0z ggem after 48hrs Only place I know where 6z ggem is on meteocentre
