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tombo82685

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Everything posted by tombo82685

  1. tombo82685
    29 with some light snow. Forecast calling for 1-2
  2. tombo82685
    Gotta lean on ens post day 7 especially with the whole convoluted mess in the nao region and pacific
  3. tombo82685
    Yea I get what you’re saying. but strong ninos and Ninas are generally bad because they generally have bad pacific patterns that are dominated with pacific air
  4. tombo82685
    I dunno, the nao to me is more of a i95 from nyc south type thing. Pacific pattern is number 1 and that is generally controlled by the mjo and a few other minor things. The pv can also alter the epo region too. Numerous instances of good winters with no nao help. But name some good winters when the pacific is poor?
  5. tombo82685
    That and the pv
  6. tombo82685
    Yea we had a favorable mjo passage in January that allowed for cold to come in. Down in sepa we had a blizzard with 15-30”
  7. tombo82685
    Remember Dec 2015 during that strong moderate nino. That dec had a strong -pna too. So just imagine right now with a +nao instead of -nao and it would be very close to that
  8. tombo82685
    As much as it sucks here, the west coast needs it. They have been in such a prolific drought for the past few years. @wolfie09 can donate his snow to seattle
  9. tombo82685
    L-O-L
  10. tombo82685
    I would take that 18z gfs run for day after Christmas. That would surely send @TugHillMattinto lake Oneida. Im Pounding fatties up here will he’s throwing a temper tantrum in puddles
  11. tombo82685
    Got to 35 here.
  12. tombo82685
    The big ULL underneath the -nao is whats shearing everything out. If you didn't have that though, you would be baking and we probably would be talking svr threats and wind storms
  13. tombo82685
    Fact check on 12z gefs day 3 pac features day 16 still very little movement
  14. tombo82685
    lets hope it never comes to that up here or I may put you to shame with a melt
  15. tombo82685
    I'd start with the center of @BuffaloWeather swimming pool and see how that goes to start
  16. tombo82685
    lol it takes a lot for me honestly. But a scenario where the tughill gets 2’ I get 4” and the Adirondacks 4 miles to my east gets 2’ would send me right off the cliff full bore
  17. tombo82685
    Oooo yea, I’ve seen that already once or twice. That’s what would make me lose it. If 4 miles east gets crushed and west while I’m sniffing cirrus and flurries
  18. tombo82685
    I can’t complain honestly I have almost 16” to date with solid snow cover on the ground right now. But these guys keep pissing on my positivity candle
  19. tombo82685
    I get it more with the tughill since they are to my west and that’s where the weather comes from lol
  20. tombo82685
    Yes, I’m in the black river valley
  21. tombo82685
    Ooo, you mean like this
  22. tombo82685
    I think it’s going to be my mission to get @TugHillMattto jump off the cliff. You know when you’re little and someone teaches you how to ride a bike they are behind you holding the seat guiding you a long. That’s going to be me guiding Matt off the cliff
  23. tombo82685
    Bingo. Pac>atl. You can still have a -pna but not a -5 standard deviation one
  24. tombo82685
    I was certainly under the impression that @TugHillMatt hated snow
  25. tombo82685
    Actually the other way around. I think very highly of you. Someone who can melt, over not getting snow, is someone I’d like to have a beer with and respect highly of
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