donsutherland1

Central Park has missed out on some of the more excessive rainfall totals this year. Still, it is extremely likely to reach 50" for the year and possibly 60".

Seasonal snowfall for the following winters was as follows: 1889-90: 10.3” 1972-73: 13.3” 1975-76: 18.3” 1996-97: 22.8” 2003-04: 34.6” 2004-05: 27.9” 2011-12: 12.5” Mean: 20.0” Median: 18.3”

Through 9 am, Central Park had picked up 0.77" rain, bringing 2018's total precipitation to 47.83". That ties 2018 with 1926 as NYC's 48th wettest year on record.

Here is the list of Harrisburg's 10 wettest years: 1. 73.73”, 2011 2. 59.27”, 1972 3. 57.07”, 1889 4. 54.63”, 2003 5. 54.22”, 1975 6. 53.34”, 2004 7. 52.43”, 1996 8. 50.38”, 2018* 9. 49.73”, 1937 10. 49.23”, 1945

As of 11:45 pm, Harrisburg had received 0.29" rain. That brought Harrisburg's total precipitation for 2018 to 50.00". That is only the 8th time on record that Harrisburg has received 50.00" or more precipitation. Seven of those cases have come after 1970. Four have come after 2000. The last such year was 2011 when an annual record of 73.73" precipitation fell. Records go back to 1888.

As of 9:56 pm, Harrisburg had picked up 0.03" rain. That brings 2018's precipitation to 49.74", making 2018 Harrisburg's 8th wettest year on record. 2018's figure is just ahead of the 49.73" precipitation that fell in 1937.

As of 5:15 pm, Washington, DC has picked up 0.19" rain. That has brought Washington's annual precipitation to 49.12". As a result, 2018 has surpassed 1933 when 49.11" precipitation fell to become Washington's 21st wettest year on record.

Through 4:20 pm, Washington, DC has picked up 0.10" rain. That has brought Washington's annual precipitation to 49.03". As a result, 2018 has surpassed 1924 when 49.02" precipitation fell to become Washington's 22nd wettest year on record.

The guidance has been trending toward somewhat above normal (more persistent above normal height anomalies extending from the western Atlantic across the East).

Through September 26, New York City (Central Park) has had a monthly mean temperature of 71.8°. That is tied for the 18th warmest figure through September 26. Applying sensitivity analysis to the guidance, there is now an implied 91% probability that September will have a monthly mean temperature of 70° or above (estimated range: 70.6°-71.2°). That will be consistent with the observed increased frequency of such warmth in September amidst a continuing steady increase in New York City’s average temperature. At the same time, another rainstorm will move into the waterlogged region this evening. As a result, 2018 will likely move up to rank among the 50 wettest years on record with three months to go. To date, the Middle Atlantic region and parts of the Southeast have seen excessive rains. Across North Carolina and parts of Virginia, the amounts were enhanced by the historic rainfall associated with Hurricane Florence. Some figures through September 26 for select cities with the start of their climate record in parentheses: Allentown (1912): 46.50” 35th wettest Asheville (1869): 54.99” 11th wettest Baltimore (1871): 53.45” 10th wettest Cape Hatteras (1893): 64.08” 21st wettest Harrisburg (1888): 49.71” 9th wettest Oakland (1 SE), MD (1893): 54.99” 13th wettest Pittsburgh (1871): 44.55” 10th wettest Richmond (1887): 48.21” 36th wettest Roanoke (1912): 45.18” 28th wettest Scranton (1901): 45.67” 6th wettest Washington, DC (1871): 48.93” 23rd wettest Wilmington (1871): 86.50” wettest on record (old record: 83.65”, 1877) Finally, it does appear that the synoptic pattern will evolve toward one in which rainfall will generally be below normal during the October 1-10 period.

This evening's thunderstorms have brought 0.47" rain to Baltimore. Baltimore's annual precipitation has now reached 53.45", which ranks 2018 the 10th wettest year on record. That's just above the 53.33" recorded in 1971.

Yesterday's rainfall totals: 000 NOUS41 KOKX 260417 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-261617- Public Information Statement Spotter Reports National Weather Service New York NY 1217 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018 The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 15 hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation is extended to highway departments, cooperative observers, Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available on our home page at weather.gov/nyc ********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS RAINFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT CONNECTICUT ...Fairfield County... Trumbull 7.32 942 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter 2 WSW Shelton 5.28 752 PM 9/25 CWOP Wilton 5.25 630 PM 9/25 Public 1 WNW Westport 4.04 757 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 SSW Georgetown 3.66 802 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 ENE Norwalk 3.57 800 PM 9/25 CWOP New Canaan 3.49 500 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS Danbury Airport 2.71 800 PM 9/25 ASOS 2 ENE Fairfield 2.66 754 PM 9/25 CWOP Stratford 2.38 805 PM 9/25 CWOP Brookfield 2.37 1000 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS New Fairfield 2.27 715 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter Bethel 2.00 300 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS Bridgeport Airport 1.97 800 PM 9/25 ASOS Darien 1.54 355 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter 1 ENE Stamford 1.13 800 PM 9/25 CWOP ...Middlesex County... 1 N Durham 6.36 750 PM 9/25 AWS Killingworth 6.10 930 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS 2 SW Middletown 5.64 749 PM 9/25 AWS Clinton 5.28 845 PM 9/25 Broadcast Media 1 NNE Westbrook 2.12 800 PM 9/25 CWOP Fenwick 2.03 745 PM 9/25 HADS ...New Haven County... 2 W Hamden 8.51 744 PM 9/25 MESOWEST Woodbridge 6.05 808 PM 9/25 Public East Wallingford 5.36 630 PM 9/25 Social Media Stony Creek 4.87 910 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter Madison 4.48 815 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS 1 SSE Oakville 4.27 800 PM 9/25 CWOP 3 E Monroe 4.15 804 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 NNE Ansonia 3.71 730 PM 9/25 MESOWEST Meriden Airport 3.42 753 PM 9/25 ASOS 1 E Branford 3.16 749 PM 9/25 AWS New Haven 2.50 645 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS New Haven Airport 2.26 800 PM 9/25 ASOS Waterbury Airport 1.83 751 PM 9/25 AWOS 2 WNW Naugatuck 1.51 755 PM 9/25 CWOP ...New London County... Lebanon 6.79 920 PM 9/25 HAM radio Colchester 6.09 945 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter New London 2.23 1100 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter 2 NW Preston 1.30 801 PM 9/25 CWOP NEW JERSEY ...Bergen County... Maywood 4.86 700 PM 9/25 Social Media Lyndhurst 4.56 750 PM 9/25 AWS Haworth 3.77 745 PM 9/25 NJWXNET Teterboro Airport 3.71 800 PM 9/25 ASOS Tenafly 3.56 230 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS Wood-ridge 3.30 803 PM 9/25 CWOP East Rutherford 3.30 810 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter 1 SE Fair Lawn 2.91 800 PM 9/25 CWOP Westwood 2.67 749 PM 9/25 CWOP Midland Park 2.44 745 PM 9/25 IFLOWS ...Essex County... 2 SE Harrison 3.70 754 PM 9/25 GOES Cedar Grove 3.10 945 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter Caldwell 2.72 945 PM 9/25 Co-Op Observer 1 NW Nutley 2.54 801 PM 9/25 CWOP North Caldwell 2.49 805 PM 9/25 CWOP Caldwell Airport 2.33 800 PM 9/25 ASOS Millburn 2.29 805 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 SE Cedar Grove 2.02 800 PM 9/25 CWOP ...Hudson County... Bayonne 4.77 500 PM 9/25 Mesonet North Bergen 4.07 115 PM 9/25 Mesonet Secaucus 4.04 115 PM 9/25 Mesonet Kearny 2.98 836 PM 9/25 Public Harrison 2.76 500 PM 9/25 Co-Op Observer Hoboken 1.32 802 PM 9/25 CWOP ...Passaic County... 1 W Totowa 7.44 945 PM 9/25 Co-Op Observer 2 ENE Ringwood 6.96 945 PM 9/25 Co-Op Observer Hawthorne 2.83 745 PM 9/25 NJWXNET West Paterson 2.83 803 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 SSW Wayne 2.23 745 PM 9/25 NJWXNET 2 NW Ringwood 2.12 745 PM 9/25 IFLOWS 1 E Ringwood 2.10 710 PM 9/25 RAWS 1 E Pompton Lakes 1.68 752 PM 9/25 CWOP Hawthorne 1.62 805 PM 9/25 CWOP 2 NNE Green Pond 0.84 750 PM 9/25 AWS ...Union County... Scotch Plains 1.97 800 PM 9/25 CWOP Newark Airport 1.89 800 PM 9/25 ASOS Roselle Park 1.27 800 PM 9/25 CWOP NEW YORK ...Kings County... 1 WNW Bay Ridge 0.80 752 PM 9/25 CWOP 2 ENE Coney Island 0.78 759 PM 9/25 CWOP ...Nassau County... 1 SW East Massapequa 1.42 800 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 SSW Hicksville 1.18 800 PM 9/25 CWOP ...New York County... 1 ESE Greenwich Vill 2.28 750 PM 9/25 AWS Central Park 1.95 800 PM 9/25 ASOS ...Orange County... Monroe 2.33 645 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter West Point 2.05 655 PM 9/25 RAWS Montgomery Airport 1.65 800 PM 9/25 ASOS Washingtonville 1.50 800 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter 1 SSW Newburgh 1.50 743 PM 9/25 CWOP New Windsor 1.43 801 PM 9/25 CWOP ...Putnam County... Watchtower Training 1.14 737 PM 9/25 OTHER Croton Falls 1.00 736 PM 9/25 OTHER ...Queens County... Whitestone 2.12 802 PM 9/25 CWOP Bellerose 1.24 801 PM 9/25 CWOP Astoria 1.12 801 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 S Jackson Heights 0.93 800 PM 9/25 CWOP ...Richmond County... Todt Hill 3.97 800 PM 9/25 CWOP Richmondtown 1.54 500 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS ...Rockland County... Piermont 3.49 802 PM 9/25 CWOP Nanuet 2.90 730 PM 9/25 IFLOWS Montebello 2.31 801 PM 9/25 CWOP Montebello 1.91 800 PM 9/25 GOES Congers 1.71 750 PM 9/25 Fire Dept/Rescue Sloatsburg 1.39 800 PM 9/25 CWOP ...Suffolk County... Setauket 4.53 1030 PM 9/25 Public Commack 3.39 915 PM 9/25 Public West Babylon 2.93 925 PM 9/25 Public 1 ENE Kings Park 2.65 800 PM 9/25 CWOP Smithtown 2.41 845 PM 9/25 Public Farmingdale Airport 2.37 800 PM 9/25 ASOS Dowling Sea Com 2.22 200 PM 9/25 Co-Op Observer Melville 2.05 804 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 ESE Lake Grove 1.99 801 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 SW Deer Park 1.90 805 PM 9/25 CWOP Miller Place 1.80 805 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 NW Babylon 1.56 801 PM 9/25 CWOP West Islip 1.50 640 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter Greenlawn 1.39 801 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 W Sunken Meadow Pa 1.37 800 PM 9/25 CWOP 3 WSW Gilgo State Pa 1.17 800 PM 9/25 CWOP Islip Airport 1.15 800 PM 9/25 ASOS Farmingville 1.08 802 PM 9/25 CWOP Orient 1.01 755 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter ...Westchester County... 1 NE Irvington 4.58 802 PM 9/25 CWOP Elmsford 4.30 800 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS 1 WSW Armonk 3.19 755 PM 9/25 CWOP 1 WSW Hawthorne 2.80 758 PM 9/25 CWOP Mamaroneck 2.72 750 PM 9/25 AWS Armonk 2.70 445 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter 1 ENE Eastchester 2.68 801 PM 9/25 CWOP Jefferson Valley 2.48 750 PM 9/25 AWS Kensico Reservoir 2.35 736 PM 9/25 OTHER Ward Pound Ridge 1.90 738 PM 9/25 OTHER Pelham 1.52 750 PM 9/25 AWS New Croton Reservoir 1.18 736 PM 9/25 OTHER &&

Such is the consequence of a situation where minimum temperatures have been rising by almost 1°F per decade for an extended period of time.

With 0.13" rain through 8 am, Central Park's 2018 precipitation has increased to 46.98". As a result, 2018 now ranks as New York City's 51st wettest year on record, just ahead of 1948 when 46.87" precipitation was recorded.

It could be. Hopefully, the wetness will persist through the winter.

Through 8 pm, New York City's total precipitation for 2018 was 46.83". That ranks 2018 as New York City's 52nd wettest year on record, just below 1948 when 46.87" fell. In terms of implied probabilities: 50" or more: Historic (1969-2017) data: 98% 1971-2017 data: 98% 60" or more: Historic (1969-2017) data: 34% 1971-2017 data: 51% Since 1869, New York City has had 32 years when 50" or more precipitation fell. 63% of those cases occurred after 1970. Since 1869, New York City has had 7 years when 60" or more precipitation fell. All of those cases occurred after 1970. Finally, the latest PNS for the rainfall totals follows: 000 NOUS41 KOKX 252341 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-261124- Public Information Statement Spotter Reports National Weather Service New York NY 740 PM EDT Tue Sep 25 2018 The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 12 hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation is extended to highway departments, cooperative observers, Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available on our home page at weather.gov/nyc ********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS RAINFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT CONNECTICUT ...Fairfield County... Wilton 5.25 630 PM 9/25 Public New Canaan 3.49 500 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS Bethel 2.00 300 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS Darien 1.54 355 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter 1 S Monroe 0.68 945 AM 9/25 CoCoRaHS ...New Haven County... East Wallingford 5.36 630 PM 9/25 Social Media New Haven 2.50 645 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS NEW JERSEY ...Bergen County... Tenafly 3.56 230 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS North Arlington 2.11 115 PM 9/25 Mesonet WNW Palisades Park 0.57 900 AM 9/25 CoCoRaHS North Arlington 0.55 900 AM 9/25 CoCoRaHS Wood-ridge 0.51 823 AM 9/25 CWOP ...Essex County... Caldwell 3.24 545 PM 9/25 Co-Op Observer 1 NW Nutley 0.52 821 AM 9/25 CWOP ...Hudson County... Bayonne 4.63 115 PM 9/25 Mesonet North Bergen 4.07 115 PM 9/25 Mesonet Secaucus 4.04 115 PM 9/25 Mesonet Harrison 1.81 115 PM 9/25 Co-Op Observer ...Passaic County... 2 ENE Ringwood 3.04 545 PM 9/25 Co-Op Observer 1 W Totowa 2.72 545 PM 9/25 Co-Op Observer 1 E Ringwood 0.56 810 AM 9/25 RAWS NEW YORK ...Kings County... 2 ENE Coney Island 0.50 813 AM 9/25 CWOP ...Nassau County... Merrick 0.52 545 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter Wantagh 0.51 800 AM 9/25 CoCoRaHS 1 SSE North Wantagh 0.50 1030 AM 9/25 CoCoRaHS ...Orange County... Monroe 1.22 1100 AM 9/25 Trained Spotter 3 WSW Pine Bush 0.95 900 AM 9/25 CoCoRaHS Montgomery Airport 0.65 754 AM 9/25 ASOS West Point 0.59 755 AM 9/25 RAWS 2 SW Greenwood Lake 0.59 800 AM 9/25 CoCoRaHS 1 SSW Newburgh 0.58 823 AM 9/25 CWOP New Windsor 0.56 821 AM 9/25 CWOP ...Queens County... Bellerose 0.69 821 AM 9/25 CWOP ...Richmond County... Richmondtown 1.54 500 PM 9/25 CoCoRaHS ...Rockland County... Montebello 0.51 821 AM 9/25 CWOP ...Suffolk County... Dowling Sea Com 2.22 200 PM 9/25 Co-Op Observer West Islip 1.50 640 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter Copiague 0.53 1005 AM 9/25 CoCoRaHS ...Westchester County... Armonk 2.70 445 PM 9/25 Trained Spotter &&

Daily record rainfall amounts for 9/25 as of 5:15 pm: Bridgeport: 1.92” (old record: 1.23”, 1991) Meriden: 4.42" (old record: 0.22", 2001) New Haven: 2.12” (old record: 0.82”, 1975) Teterboro: 3.71” (old record: 0.56”, 2001) White Plains: 4.41” (old record: 3.48”, 1946)

With 0.20" rain today, Baltimore's total precipitation for 2018 has reached 52.98". That ranks 2018 as Baltimore's 11th wettest year on record, just ahead of 1933 when 52.96" precipitation fell.

At 5:15, today's rainfall at White Plains had surpassed 4", reaching 4.06". Heavy rain was falling at the time of the observation.

Daily record rainfall amounts for 9/25 as of 5:15 pm: Bridgeport: 1.64” (old record: 1.23”, 1991) New Haven: 1.51” (old record: 0.82”, 1975) Teterboro: 3.34” (old record: 0.56”, 2001) White Plains: 3.88” (old record: 3.48”, 1946)

White Plains received 1.46" rain from 1 pm - 2 pm and 2.10" in the 1 pm - 2:15 pm timeframe. New York City's total annual precipitation has now reached 46.53" as of 2 pm, which ranks 2018 as the 53rd wettest year on record.

White Plains has picked up 0.99" rain in 30 minutes.

That’s very impressive.

Through 8:10 am, New York City’s Central Park had picked up 0.27” rain. That brings 2018’s total precipitation to 45.21”, which ranks as New York City’s 64th highest figure on record. Implied probabilities of annual precipitation: 50” or above: Historic data: 96% 1971-2017 data: 96% 60” or above: Historic data: 20% 1971-2017 data: 39% Lowest 9/26-12/31 precipitation: 4.62”, 2001 Highest 9/26-12/31 precipitation: 27.72”, 1983

Through 6 am, today's rainfall has brought Baltimore's annual precipitation to 52.59". That ranks 2018 as the 12th wettest year on record for Baltimore, just above 2014 when 52.58" precipitation was recorded. The 11th wettest year was 1933 when 52.96" precipitation fell. Records go back to 1871.