OHweather

Friday could be 75 if the rain and front hold off long enough.

There are two reports from Chardon, one from a co-op observer and 12 hourly reports from a snow spotter. The 12 hourly reports add up to 6.3" (1.0, 2.5, 2.8). The 24 hourly reports from the co-op add up to 4.8" (1.0, 3.8). The co-op is almost always lower than the snow spotter, possibly because they just stick a ruler in every 24 hours which allows for compaction. Baindridge had close to 3" last night around 10:00 when I drove through so you having roughly 4" is plausible. After 0.3" Tuesday night I got 1.1" through 10:30pm yesterday and an additional 0.7" overnight. Unfortunately this will be the last snow for quite a while.

We'd need either a foot plus storm or two 8"+ storms to move that needle in my mind. Probably is less than likely.

This has really been an unexpectedly bad winter, and unless we pull off a late rally I may have to rate it lower than 2011-12. I would be very surprised to finish with less snow than last winter at CLE (and the heart of the snowbelt likely already has more than last winter or is approaching those totals), however until we actually pass last winter's snow total it's in the realm of possibility. Got 0.3" last night. Some very light snow pellets at the moment, but radar shows more moisture moving south across the lake, which should result in a bit of a flareup for a few hours. Parameters look a little bit better tonight on forecast soundings, with equilibrium heights rising to 8k feet for a time and very little wind shear to go along with enough moisture. The winds may lock in for several hours, so I suppose how I could see anyone who gets under the upper Lake Michigan/Lake Superior connection (probably eastern Cuyahoga County or western Geauga County) could see 3-4" this evening through early Thursday...everyone else (outside of NW PA where the Huron connection develops) will not see much snow tonight.

This upcoming LES does not have me impressed. Short fetch with marginal instability and pretty low inversion heights. Moisture is ok at times and the window is pretty long from tomorrow afternoon into Thursday afternoon so there could be just enough snow to plow. An upstream connection to the upper lakes could affect the Cleveland metro or Geauga County at times and a Huron connection should go into NW PA at times. I'm thinking 1-4" in the higher terrain of NE OH including the secondary Snowbelt...less than an inch closer to the lake...and 3-6" in the higher terrain of NW PA with less near the lake. This is a marginal advisory event for NW PA and sub-advisory for NE OH IMO. I struggle to see anyone in NW PA seeing 6" in 12 hours or 8" in 24 hours which is what is needed for a warning. Conversely I don't expect anyone in NE OH to see 4" in 12 hours or 6" in 24 hours for an advisory.

Got about an inch in half an hour at work with the squall. Some heavy snow showers have been more persistent at home so maybe I'll find a couple new inches there. had 1.2" with the synoptic snow yesterday evening and an additional 0.7" of lake effect this morning before I left.

You should have gotten 5 or 6" of synoptic on December 11...but it has largely been a synoptic snow wasteland this winter. I anticipate the month of March will come in snowier than normal but we will see how big or small the dent in the seasonal deficit is.

Looks like we will pull off an inch or two of synoptic snow this evening with the most falling inland. Wahoo! Minor LES event tomorrow with a NW flow but potent shortwave going by. Normally in this type of situation some snow showers make it in from Lake Michigan and can cause a nice burst in the secondary Snowbelt and primary Snowbelt. Instability and moisture are good for a few hours tomorrow but it's brief. I think most areas will see an inch or two of LES, but someone who gets hit by the Lake MI enhanced bands could see a few inches in the higher terrain. Then it all melts again Saturday and Sunday.

Just some flurries down here today...a couple 2-4" reports from Chardon into NW PA.

You certainly need non-lake effect snow to cash in...and there's been very little of that this winter unfortunately. Meanwhile places like Chesterland and Chardon may be sitting at 70" on the season and could see 100" if we see a few more good events.

2.7" this morning pushing me over 30" (about 32") on the year. Doesn't feel like it's been that much, though that is still probably abou but 10-15" below normal through January. I figure I average 75-80" per year out here. Would certainly be willing to meetup at some point.

Wow no kidding. Wonder if you would've cracked a foot or not. Advisory out for 3-6" with the clipper tonight into tomorrow. We will see what happens. Heaviest should be east of Cleveland and Akron.

Hopefully Trent was around for this...band looked to be locked right over him for a few hours and a couple of lightning strikes showed up around 5am too.

There were some warning signs that this could be a good event but it definitely blew my doors off when it came together as perfectly as it did. The last little bit of that big squall earlier and occasional snow showers since then have pushed me to 5.1" since yesterday afternoon and 6.9" since Thursday evening so far.

Awesome reports!! 4.5" here. It is snowing extremely hard under this squall but won't last much longer. What an event for Cuyahoga County.

Posting this for posterity. Wow, this is going to be an event places along the western lakeshore into Downtown will reference as a event that's great for that area. Band isn't moving and is intensifying over western Lake Erie. There could be a foot of snow in parts of northern Cuyahoga by morning.

This is turning into quite a good event for Cuyahoga, Lake, and Geauga Counties. They also added northern Trumbull to the warning.

Warning for Cuyahoga now

Lake and Geauga upgraded to a warning

Got about an inch in 20 minutes in Solon a little bit ago. Really came down

CLE extended the advisory through 10AM which is a good call. The convergence has pushed inland to around 480/422 with NW winds north of it and W winds south of it, along with a somewhat disorganized band of moderate to heavy snow. This band should continue for a few more hours before possibly lifting north of the approaching shortwave and potential lake induced mesolow later this evening into tonight. The mesolow track is still less than certain, but the general WNW flow from Lake MI where the upstream bursts of snow and potential catalyst for the low itself suggest it will move in close to Cleveland or just east late tonight. With steep lapse rates and moisture to around 12-13k feet through the night tonight on forecast soundings, any bands this evening and ahead of the mesolow could produce 1" per hour rates, maybe some local 2" per hour rates if the band organizes at all. There could be very heavy rates with the mesolow itself in the neighborhood of 2-4" per hour for an hour or two. Behind the mesolow winds go N and a surface trough slowly pushes through, so this should allow moderate to heavy snow to expand southwest late tonight into Monday morning. We still have a deep layer of moisture and instability through Monday morning, and although the flow is between NW and N it is light and very well aligned, meaning I expected decent snows to continue in the Cleveland metro and primary and secondary snowbelt down towards Akron through Monday morning with a possible brief Huron connection as well. All told I expect a widespread 2-5" of snow from parts of Lorain and Medina Counties east through the Snowbelt tonight. A corridor of 6-10" is possible if the mesolow develops and tracks across parts of the area with a period of enhanced rates.

Heavy band in NE Cuyahoga/southern Lake and Geauga again in areas that saw a few inches this morning. Can't believe CLE hasn't gone to an advisory yet, especially with more coming tonight.

0.7" here overnight and this morning. Looks like the big winner this morning was Chardon with around half a foot. My "total" since Thursday evening is 1.8". The trough has appeared to edge back north over the lake and for a time here the best snow is going to be going into extreme NE Cuy/Lake/northern Geauga. There's another push south with the trough working its way east, it's currently approaching the Lake Erie islands, so that will hopefully get snow into more of Cuyahoga and southern Geauga again early to mid afternoon. It's still a guess as to where the best snow sets up tonight but I'm thinking Cleveland metro into the primary Snowbelt. There could be a mesolow or two that each drop a few inches quickly as they come inland tonight, and I really think CLE should go advisory for at least Cuyahoga, Lake, and Geauga for now and possibly expand later. Someone could still get a warning amount through Monday morning. Even if the best snow is on the east side tonight everyone should get a burst tomorrow morning as the surface trough finally pushes well south and winds go more north for a time.

Models this evening and some early short-range models look encouraging for that band setting up along the lakeshore into the snowbelt and not down along route 30. We could see warning criteria in spots if this sets up tonight into Monday like it looks like it may. Just gotta figure out the exact placement. We should get a hint in the morning or early afternoon when we see where the initial band makes it to, as it will probably hold steady or wiggle north a bit in the evening as the shortwave approaches.

I don't expect a bunch tonight, an inch or two in the snowbelt, but we should see a band slowly sag through the area tomorrow and drop an inch or two...maybe a few if it slows down somewhere. Tomorrow night is still interesting despite less than stellar hi-res models. Conditions are OK to good for lake effect and we'll still have the surface trough nearby. Some models push it well inland and keep it out of the picture, but again with fairly weak winds and no strong cold air advection immediately behind the trough it may struggle to push south as quickly as the models show, and may wiggle back north ahead of the shortwave tomorrow evening. There is the potential for several inches of snow to fall along that trough if it's far enough north to be enhanced by the lake. If the trough is south, I still think with a light, very well aligned NW flow along with some moisture and lift from the shortwave passing that some LES will flare up. I expect at least 1-3" across the Cleveland metro and Snowbelt tomorrow night, but if that trough is north that could easily turn into more. Between the initial snow band sagging south with the trough during the day Sunday and potential flareup with the trough Sunday night it's possible some advisories could be needed in NE OH.