Bubbler86

its been an ongoing theme now for several days in a row. Feels pretty safe to commit to at least some version of it.

Thanks and appreciate the reply. I am going to reply and agree that we simply do not know who is or not immune and that makes decision making tough. I think immune is a bad word. Lots of fully vaxxed people are coming down with Covid now. Just not as severe as non vaxxed people it appears. But the main point in my reply is going to be that the Covid we will be dealing with this fall is worse than the one from last year. Transmission happens more easily and for some reason, no one knows why as far as I know, younger people are much more susceptible to getting hospital sick. I have read articles that suggest it is because a lot of older people are vaxxed but that does not add up to me as younger people did not get as sick with 2020 Covid. Hospitals in Florida are filling up with 30 and 40 year old people and some hospitals are actually more filled now than anytime in the past. So I guess to me the best advice I give anyone is to not let your guard down and not to look at last winter as to a guide of what is coming this fall.

Once past this Wednesday, day after day of highs the 60's and 70's and lows in the 40's and 50's. Think MDT had one day over 80 scattered in.

Probably part of the reason we are going to struggle for rain today.

Radar has some rain forming out to west now but still think it is a southern thing today.

Like I mentioned, Maryland just announced that it is strongly recommended all non vaxxed kids wear masks. Since kids under 12 cannot get a vax that means they want all kids under 12 to wear masks. The state does not have the authority to require it though. Many of the largest schools districts in the country have already announced masks for all kids which is why I said it was assumed kids would be wearing them....but I guess some schools districts might not. I know NY, Chicago and LA will require masks for all kids (LA requires all adults to wear masks when indoors). Not sure about in person or not but think most are going in person.

LOL, I think its a forgone conclusion that kids under 12, and maybe all kids, are wearing masks going back to school. Whether teachers enforce it all day will be the question. I know for adults it is a bit of a personal decision but if you look at a county like Franklin, with only 1/3 of the folks vaxxed, its a bit worrisome.

I was in two stores yesterday that require masks for everyone. And the one is always quite warm so I agree it is indeed not comfortable. If the CDC throws down the gauntlet I think most stores will follow. There is actually a store in Waynesboro that mocks you IF you come in with a mask. Says covid is a farce, etc....not going to name them as I still like going there despite the owners strange behavior. MD just announced that they strongly advise masks for kids that are not vaxxed which is all elementary kids. Once it gets colder I think it will be less of an issue and people will get used to them again as needed.

This SPC Map I just saw covers my thoughts well though I would say 30% chance vs. 10 and maybe a tad higher into PA.

Not brave enough to make that prediction but not a slam dunk dry day either.

PS, on your sticky comment, that lends credence to some possible surprise southern LSV showers later today. Just need a little energy to wrong it out.

LOL. My strategy is to keep it in our Qb's hands (GFS) and run the clock on on 100 chances.

Refusing the penalty does negate the foul, it just keeps the ball where it is :-).

MDT's 100's are a bit similar in that after Aug 15, of the 4 days that hit 100, 2 are in 1953 so really only 3 times since 1888. 1953, 1973 and 1983. Seeing that it is not 2023, on Aug 15 I am going from my current unlikely stance to officially punting on 100's.

This is when it became statistically less likely but not a shocker if it does. Aug 15th is the date where it becomes very unlikely.

Being July 26th, Team 100 was just flagged for delay of game.

Still there in some form this AM. 18Z Temp of 63 in York next Tuesday.

65 and sticky this AM. Might be a little wetter this week than we thought. Even some possible rain today for Southern LSV. Both the Nam and GFS have some/much of the LSV near .5 by Thursday.

Looks like we are closing out the day with .10" over here.

Now lets find some rain and make it a real party.

18Z GFS runs a QB sneak and the ball is inside the 10 for next weeks 40's night. Midnight high alert.

Yea, models were not overly enthusiastic and Mother Nature played along. That hit in southern Lanco formed just before it actually hit them so a fortunate score for the area. Parts of York County are getting some rain this evening.

Short of a stalled front or tropical system I think you are fairly safe for some decent weather.

I think today was the last day for a bonanza over the next 5-7 days...and its very much underperforming.

I have had to stop looking at the qpf maps. 1) They might be wrong. 2) If they are right, things are going to get really dry for most.