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Bubbler86

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  1. Bubbler86
    Much more zonal, ridge type long and fantasy term. Did not see any over the top temps but some hot days in a quick scan. But nothing like the 6Z which was nothing like 0Z just like you mentioned. Something larger scale that I am not seeing must be adjusting it each time.
  2. Bubbler86
    I think someone is getting storms today. Just fear it may not be widespread and closer to evening.
  3. Bubbler86
    The 6Z Nam was a big ole zero here as well.
  4. Bubbler86
    Not the most reliable as of late but enough to warrant a comment, that is one fearsome line heading due south of the 3K. Limited effects on the LSV but this would be a newsmaker in that form. So definitely going to be an interesting watch day tomorrow with a signal like that.
  5. Bubbler86
    I agree and this is with the fact that MDT had their 3rd warmest June ever recorded. It was close to record setting but nothing like many others records.
  6. Bubbler86
    Keep kicking those ridges out.
  7. Bubbler86
    The 12Z HRRR says none of the normal posters in here reach 90 today. We shall see.
  8. Bubbler86
    No masks in the sand.
  9. Bubbler86
    Indeed. I would just hope the CDC would be the hard core science folks who tell it how it is and not try to please the masses. They did say that things could change in the future but they spent a lot of time emphasizing "getting back to normal" and probably could have been more realistic and say "lets check on this again in a few months".
  10. Bubbler86
    Your point is always an interesting one as Met's are one of the few positions that can get away with being wrong so often because the science is so inexact. So you could apply that to scientists as well I guess. But the May guidance was too rosy and too pointed toward making people happy when in reality there was always a chance masking and restrictions where coming back because our understanding of the virus is too limited.
  11. Bubbler86
    I remember him saying that but I think if someone wants to question what has happened it is more along the lines of the CDC being inept in how they handled it in May and now. It was bound to fail with the way the CDC presented the info in May. One could argue it was them speaking for the President but not sure I believe that. The CDC has not done well with this since the start of 2020 in my opinion.
  12. Bubbler86
    My dry period started the second week of May and stretched until some point in August though I forget exact details of when it started to rain again. This year is a good example of those convection winners and losers. I have done "ok" the last month but still below average (probably same as you but maybe you are a little less ok) while Harrisburg has more than doubled their average. Adams county had it tough as well last year.
  13. Bubbler86
    I saw the name of the Green Tagger and can PM you with it if you want to ask them for a reason.
  14. Bubbler86
    I think some of that may be due to timing, right? The main area of forcing goes through you guys in the AM.
  15. Bubbler86
    Although modeling looks very active for pop up showers, the typical Cape numbers are not all that impressive in several I just randomly checked...including near you. Temps are fairly moderate as well. Not even showing any 90's today now. Mid 80's tomorrow.
  16. Bubbler86
    Thanks. Much of the western half of PA in marginal for storms today as well including Western LSV.
  17. Bubbler86
    Does not take long to dry up.
  18. Bubbler86
    US BkBall wins by 54! LOL
  19. Bubbler86
    My dry period is a lot better than even last year and of course nothing like out West. Last year was the worst drought this area had ever seen according to the locals. Some 3-4 months with just 1" of rain total between all the months. So my comments about drought and dry are more about saving the grass vs. a major drought.
  20. Bubbler86
    Each run finds a reason, sometimes different sometimes similar, to bring back the cool regime after a few days of moderate heat around the first weekend of August.
  21. Bubbler86
    I think someone complained as I saw a Green Tagger at the bottom of the list and then an hour later MJS said his post was gone.
  22. Bubbler86
    Beat MDT by 3.
  23. Bubbler86
    6Z has the SER bring the transient heat this time but it (SER) too is being pushed around by the next trough from the north...540 line et all.
  24. Bubbler86
    Some of the northern areas are in D3 and D4 drought status as well. A fairly sticky 62 here this AM.
  25. Bubbler86
    Indeed it does. Transient heat though several days.
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