Bubbler86

Oh boy...CDC announcements coming in 75 min.

Seems like a good deal for both sides.

86 here at 1:30. 90 is probable but not assured now. Temps have stalled a bit.

I do not buy those thought processes. I do buy that it comes out so often that our opinions can be clouded by all the swings. FWIW, 0Z had the same heat as 6Z as to today.

Do you know a way to get it free? Please let us know :-). (Said in jest, I do not eat at buffets)

Yep. I am surprised it backed off with no sign of it anymore. Ridge back in the west and Atlantic ridge pushed back again. From highs in the 100's back to the mid 80's. Maybe too fast.

So out in fantasy land, the ridge trying to be more Northern positioned puts the kibosh on PA hot weather like it was showing earlier. Some near 90 temps but nothing like the 100 degree temps forecasted at 6Z. Bowling ball troughs keep coming out of Canada and keep the ridge at bay. No sign of a ridge setting up for us. It will probably be back and forth though.

The Harrisburg Susky rapids. Just have to hope convection related stuff saves those that want water.

If we have to wait until then I will be in D1 and down at the bank to borrow money for the water bill.

Oh no doubt. I was doing PBP but its all good news on the GFS. We would almost forget what real summer feels like by the end of next week. And like I added to the other post, its more of a Northern position ridge so frankly I am not afraid of that. Just need to find rain somehow though. The new trough is appearing to try and sweep in for the following weekend.

The ridge asserted itself a bit more into the 200's. Totally different look than the 0 and 6Z. With a new trough pressing down from the north and the ride limited to just more of a Northeast Atlantic ridge.

Trough just keeps "regenerating" on the MR gfs. Its not sharp but a great Ridge Block. Blue Florida.

It looked a little worse that last week or two with no troughing like we are going to get. Looking like a cross country ridge. Temp wise we are really heading into a great period it seems. 40's possible in colder LSV locales Sat and Mon Am.

12Z GFS for same period.

I felt sentimental as during the winter its a regular contributor. Most of the MR models are talking 7-10 days of cooler weather so I am taking that as the big news right now and thought it fun to see so many 40's on it. The GFS and Euro have been building the ridge over us in fantasy land for weeks now and they both keep pushing it back so personally I am waiting until its within 200 hours before too much fretting. With that said, if it takes getting near a ridge to get rain we may have to do it. The cool depictions are too dry.

Have not had an Icon viewing in a bit but throw another log on the fire. The MDT July 31 record is 53 in 1895.

Would be curious to hear opinions of people who go every year. In the 70's and 80's I went almost every year and the locations that had the Amish/Mennonite Ham and Cheese Sandwiches was not air conditioned, I Got It was not air conditioned, the grocery bucket raffle was out in the sun, etc....everything was going to be too hot for a day like today.

It makes my post weather related so I am taking it as fact.

So now they have weather issues, It's too darn hot. And I agree it makes no sense. I figured it was just cancelled last year and saw 2019 was September so was wondering why it coincided with now. My grandfather used to be part of a church group that would set up a stand/tent near the animals and give away free water. He is passed now but not sure he would have stood for being out this time of the year.

I was wondering...why is the York Fair so early now? I thought it was a September thing? Are they trying to get in before more lockdowns? I did just read Kohr's left the fair which was surprising.

Euro would have you chance hitting 90 on Thursday as well. So it really is which one is closet to being right. Euro is much cooler next week and more closely matches the GFS.

I think WU is a great resource. Have seen you commenting how it matches closely a couple time's in the last week or two. If you take out the extremes its a great indicator.

78 at 10:30 here. Feels hotter than it really is. Wundermap for the McHotness so far. Frequent mid 80's showing in Central LSV

Possibly last day for 90's through week one of August (tomorrow might be close for some)? EC vs. GFS.

Most of the nice temps I am seeing are in Early August so may get off to a pretty good below departure after week one if GFS is close.