I will take a shot. The air mass is coming out of Canada is quite cold as it moves into the Upper Mid West....the return flow from that ridge erodes it pretty quickly though so "stale cold"?
I know the feeling. I travel to Florida every few months and it gets stressful, in the winter, watching digital snow on models that I may miss. I fear I will miss the Blizzard of 2022!
On this subject, the Nam's have been too cool almost all summer and continue into the fall. Definitely something to watch for if they are they only ones calling for an icing event on a future system. Its been almost every day they are several degrees too cool.
There is a guy in the Pitt thread, @Ahoff with a similar predicament as you. Wants a "Get out of jail free" card on rooting for snow so they can travel.
Well we will need better from your 540 line...if I could put that request in? One good piece of news is that the record high for Monday is 73 and I doubt MDT breaks 70 so we probably do not reach that one either. No reason to add stamps of bad onto the winter so quickly.
The GFS on TT is not even to the Wed storm yet but the PAweather 540 line is north of the LSV prior to the system so that is all I need to see unfortunately.
Clouds moving in here. Made it to 63 but going back now. Look at Cap City sitting at 63 and MDT at 61. That 67 record was not "too" far from being challenged.