Bubbler86

It's definitely a very mild run. Not warm but not winter cold.

I mowed this weekend. Ironic...grass is growling better now than in July.

18 was low here as well. Heavy frost. Is this it for the grass growth?

Would be tough to not allow the players a Christmas celebration.

I think a pause of fans for a few weeks should be enough time to allow a better view of how bad this is going to be (or not). Not sure they shut down sports all together. It is literally spreading like wildfire through the NBA though. Would have to think most of that is coming from getting it on court.

Icon gets some very cold rain into the LSV Wed AM now....still a close call. Fighting temps and dry air. BUT, a lot of rain early Christmas morning on the GFS. 1/2-1" it seems.

Cannot argue with that but that will cause a lot of butt hurt.

I think it may be time to pause fans at sporting events...for a few weeks at least. Just my opinion.

Why didn't you post this hours ago! I was waiting! :-)

Yea, I imagine people North East of us are getting very impatient. If we are the new Atlanta you are indeed the new MA.

LOL, you are the LAST person who punts winter. You are chasing snow flakes in May. No one is punting winter meaning not even the heat misers. It's still early.

No one is punting winter :-). We are all on the same team. Edit-Well @Voyager maybe not. LOL

Some will say we blew our load in November.

Just based on today, there is no solid winter pattern this year. But we are still early so we shake off the late Dec disappointment and move on. Still need to watch late next week especially SE areas.

Yep, the whole EC is a forgettable run for all of us on the East Coast.

The EC is upper 60's and low 70's on Christmas. It's the extreme high but the CMC and GFS and 60's. Crazy.

384 so....LOL. But I agree with your sentiment I think. No slam dunk winter weather for a bit. Models are insistent on not allowing the Southern Stream system, late next week, to get tugged up. On the plus side, lots of people travelling so decent weather is good for them.

Just looked at the end of the GFS. In the mode of crazy weather, that is REALLY cold in the upper Mid West. Pray your car does not break down cold.

Another thing, just to be up front, you would would have to look long and hard where I replied to a teleconnections post directly. The comments you attributed to me were in response to someone attacking my less than rosy outlook at that time. I do not enjoy the teleconnection talk so mostly stay out of it...but when its used to refute my opinion, I will give my opinion of it. Let's face it...we had that bad day some 7-10 days ago and the OP runs did pretty well in predicting a less than ideal pattern for the next 7-10 days coming up.

I am not banging anything, I was just talking about the current run of the GFS at the point Training posted the MU stuff. I did not look for a model, I just posted the current run and how it had changed from last night. The 6Z (and now 12Z) GFS was not a good look for us. Trying to forecast the MJO is voodoo stuff to me. It's one thing to say what phase we are in but (mostly on MA) suggesting what phase we will next be in is not forecastable, IMO. So discussing it is great but making definitive statements that it will happen, is not the best in my opinion. But when I made that statement, I did not have you in mind vs. the MA LR thread. Forecasting off teleconnections is akin to 200 and 300HR GFS maps in my opinion. One can say what the teleconnections show but they are modeled just like the OP runs. LOL, I am not mad. I have posted about snow chances several times in the last week....looking for a needle in a haystack as it were. I will say that some posts suggested we would be heading into a colder time starting now and I think that was off base.

I think we have to do MDT or MDT and another station. Backyards is tough! The 12Z GFS says we are all too low.

Basically the 6Z 15 day GFS

Yep. We are just throwing them out there. Honor system and memory :-).

It's hard to go against trend. But could be wrong. Seems CMC is in the low to mid 40's here.

Did you put a forecast in for the Christmas day contest? My 49 looks a bit low right now. May change.