Bubbler86

Thanks Mag. I think it is equally as important to mention that the MJO 15 day discussion is model driven. Some general thought, 2-4 weeks ago, was that it would drive into 8. Also based on model data at that point. Since MJO forecasting capability is very limited at times, it really should not surprise anyone to see it drive into 8 during this upcoming period regardless of current LR predicts. In English, do not punt winter's first half as of yet. As most know, the MJO can go backwards at times as well.

73 percent is a country number, not PA. Only a few hundred to thousand cases in Pa per the stats I last saw. It's Omicron, not OMNI. Many counties in PA have had no cases of Omicron including big boy Allegheny which had no confirmed cases as of yesterday (though officials expect they may have some non reported). Just keeping the info real. Only 6 cases in PA as of 5 days ago but several hundred this week. https://www.google.com/amp/s/news.yahoo.com/amphtml/6-omicron-variant-cases-now-232815145.html

I am sure someone I left out is angrily wasting staples in anger right now. I know I forgot the tug hill!

We have everything you could want. Long rangers, people who look for anomalies, posters who will drill the HRRR for being off by a degree or two, wind racists and wind worshipers, our very own HR and training manager, drive by snipers, sports nuts and sports haters, more than one person who drives water places, people who work at home and can post twice what others do, a poster who only gets an hour or two of sun per day in the winter, like 10 different posters who call themselves paweather (insert number here), people in West central PA who only post when it snows, an actual met, NEWMAN!, occasional posts from Mets fans, people who miss ice resistance, people who have too much grass, people who are always in drought, South of the mason dixoners, and of course a guy who cannot handle the massive post count of the Pitt thread so he stops in here for a break. We are like the nexus of the universe here.

I wish it could be like that all the time. Fun. Anyway, I understand anothermans point but we are not doing public forecast here. Lol.

But most of us take it with a grain of salt. It's all fun, right?

I did because you told me not to.

That is probably right. From April to late May, its a mow fest in the 'Ville.

Blizz, I thought you must have blocked me. Glad to see you reply to one of my posts. My grass did die in the front (previous summer) and my home insurance paid to have that part of my yard re-sodded, but I think Training has been doing quite well in this department. He has a shot to mow in January!

18z is pretty rainy turnpike and north Christmas day. Low 60's where its not raining. Upper 50's where it is. No winter weather the rest of the year. Threat of 70 Jan 1.

Soon time for your HH GFS PBP.

I had one ordered but when the Fedex driver stopped by, he threw it toward me and it was high and my neighbor intercepted it.

LOL. I need to get you a signed Big Ben Flak jacket or something....to make you feel more joy in the holiday season!

The 540 line is vacating the US in the Northeast!

Oh, got it.

You did not need to do a trial to see those maps on Pivotal. (0 and 12Z at least)

EC has Christmas as being showery and unsettled for most of PA.

The one where it gets between 60 and 65.

Its not Canderson level but if they get between 6-7 that is a sneaky torch month as it really has not seemed that warm.

@Itstrainingtime, if you look at the Christmas GFS 18Z map, make sure you check 0Z for the 26th.

MDT sitting at +5.2 right now. Make a run for 6?

Yea, I added on to my post stating that the ridge was not nearly as pushy vs. now. And that weenies want to see the 396 map.

It's sort of a 50/50 this time....it wins but not as it did/will in late December. Much closer call. Of course this in mid to late 300's. Lot's of weenies will be mashing F5 hoping a 390 and 396 map come up.

Your grass is growing as you type!

GFS gets back to regularly scheduled programming in the 300's. Some will say its mix over PA but the low is in Wisconsin.