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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    You would expect more out of the QPF map from a map like this
  2. Bubbler86
    A LOT more rain. Want not expecting that for some reason. FFW type rains at night (well the total qpf map is not nearly as impressive as the radar.) That sucks actually...if it played out. For those following the Christmas Forecast contest, low 50's for highs on the GFS (LSV).
  3. Bubbler86
    Only up to Sat AM. Chilly Wed and Thur. Friday in the upper 40's and low 50's. Like last rain storm, the emphasis on the rain is lifting away from the LSV into Middle and Northern PA for Christmas eve.
  4. Bubbler86
    I can literally feel the sun making my street warmer already.
  5. Bubbler86
    One of the most important 12Z GFS's, for the rest of the year, is rolling.
  6. Bubbler86
    I think it sucks at determining actual weather a day or two before an event but out in the late 100's and 200's (0Z) it sometimes leads the way in pattern recognition.
  7. Bubbler86
    DK Metcalf
  8. Bubbler86
    It is actually scoring higher than the GFS in a 3rd party model rating I saw the other day. They used front positions and eventual long wave patterns to gauge. I will see if I can find it. Ukie was 1, CMC 2, Euro 3 , Icon 4 and GFS 5. They did not gauge the Fv3.
  9. Bubbler86
    It's right as often as the other models when it comes to MR and LR. Just another dart in the belt clip. What model is right?
  10. Bubbler86
    Icon is rolling!
  11. Bubbler86
    What a shame this did not work out.
  12. Bubbler86
    Poke the Bear Syndrome!
  13. Bubbler86
    You should start a whole new thread to break down the 6Z GFS.
  14. Bubbler86
    Sometimes one wants to find something to make the board happy or, if ugly, something to moan about. its a tug of war internally.
  15. Bubbler86
    Training is parsing. We are getting into real winter now. The Euro at least had some pity snow for the LSV. GFS was snowless and torch.
  16. Bubbler86
    HIA removed for the day.
  17. Bubbler86
    If he looks at 6Z, I am calling Palmyra Emergency Services to check in on him. I still think my 49 for Christmas is going to bust way low.
  18. Bubbler86
    Well if that is the case, we just extend the HRRR. HRRRX to 384. Something for everyone at the hour, on the hour.
  19. Bubbler86
    Like streak, it was downright nice here yesterday. Sun and little wind. Felt good coming off the chilly Sunday. The sun makes all the difference between you and me, I guess
  20. Bubbler86
    It drives weenies mad.
  21. Bubbler86
    The 6Z GFS is one of the worst runs of the winter...does that count or no because it is an off run? Cold never advances past the Upper Mid West.
  22. Bubbler86
    We only made it to 27. And it was 44 here yesterday afternoon. Big differences.
  23. Bubbler86
    Cold over there. Down to 29 now.
  24. Bubbler86
    Good post by RIC_WX on the MA Jan LR thread. I think their reference to it being a torch is over stated. Maybe balmy.
  25. Bubbler86
    32 here
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