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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Spin the MJO.
  2. Bubbler86
    Best chance I see for the 12Z Euro, at this point, is if one of those wandering middle country SLP's gets close enough to the East Coast to induce something to our South (at the coast) that pulls in cold air at the right time. Otherwise we are on the wrong side of the boundary.
  3. Bubbler86
    That is 1/2" provided by your new, shiny pivotal trial membership.
  4. Bubbler86
    Its not far from the Ukie and CMC. I posted accums above. Not several inches but something.
  5. Bubbler86
    Euro Christmas is showery and 55-60 for the LSV.
  6. Bubbler86
    You have the Euro as well...in some manner. Rouzverville split
  7. Bubbler86
    The further it goes, the less exciting it looks though. Transient and SER lurking. Last post from me on it. No trolling.
  8. Bubbler86
    Yep, that was what I saw....sort of a "it gets bad but looks better soon" post.
  9. Bubbler86
    60's near 70 still showing up around that time. A day or two later. Need to plow all this crap out and start fresh later that first week of January.
  10. Bubbler86
    12Z CMC is a bit more fun to look at for Monday. But not all that great.
  11. Bubbler86
    Yea, and its just cool enough to be irritating. Might really warm up here but Central LSV would have lots of damp 40's and 50's days.
  12. Bubbler86
    GFS has 3/4-1" of rain for me through Tuesday. See where it goes from here the next few days.
  13. Bubbler86
    Still shows some mixed precip in the LSV/most of Eastern PA(reported by Blizz on the 6Z I think) Monday afternoon with retreating cold.
  14. Bubbler86
    Yea, its sort of a split between the Nam and the Icon. Low 60's for highs though a nose of cool may save MDT from getting there. (Model discussion, not forecast)
  15. Bubbler86
    Icon was still a wet Saturday so GFS breaks the tie.
  16. Bubbler86
    I think we did as well. My post was mostly to point out the unlucky timing we have had for Christmas the last several years and that this year will actually not be as bad as those. I remember there were several 70's reported Christmas eve last year (locals).
  17. Bubbler86
    Yes, it was a midnight thing for Christmas. Christmas eve was the especially warm day.
  18. Bubbler86
    Yea, it was sad. I have better November memories, since returning from Florida, than December as it pertains to weather.
  19. Bubbler86
    We go into them filled with such enthusiasm based on, in my opinion, a combo of childhood memories and MJO/teleconnection hopes, and they do indeed seem to keep failing.
  20. Bubbler86
    We do need to remember, at least down here, it hit 70 on Christmas eve just 6 years ago....and 66 12/24, 64 12/25 just last year. So this year may be a step down. LOL
  21. Bubbler86
    Northeast Drought Summary Since the beginning of November, precipitation deficits continue to increase across the Mid-Atlantic. Washington, DC recorded only 1.15 inches of precipitation from Nov 1 to Dec 20. Based on increasing short-term precipitation deficits, 60-day SPI values, 28-day average streamflows, and declining soil moisture, abnormal dryness (D0) was expanded north to include more of Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania.
  22. Bubbler86
    Yep, there have been 3 or 4 systems in a row that have started with the "deform band" over us and eventually shifted it north. NAM is completely dry Christmas. Just one model but I guess its possible now.
  23. Bubbler86
    If true, our toys will not get wet when Santa drops them off.
  24. Bubbler86
    Nam is first up with no rain into the LSV into Christmas morning. That period continues to dry out.
  25. Bubbler86
    22 at 9AM in the 'Ville. Coldest temp at this time of the day so far this season.
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