Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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MDT has been stuck at 74 for hours. Definitely hit a cap today as heating is about done. It made it to 69 here but heading down now. The wind made it feel much cooler. (edit I see they had an inter-hour creep up to 75)
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Euro is much more south (ala GFS) with the SLP.
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It just did not hold to the 7 straight days under average the GFS had. All due to its 4-5 state low positioning difference.
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The PAWeather inland Cut Off 540 line.
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It did not get the name King CMC for being wrong all the time. Like all the other models, it seems to get hot for periods...surely related to atmospheric conditions it is better suited to gauge. CMC was FAR superior in gauging temps this past Spring. I would go with the GFS/Icon combo for SLP location though....
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The CMC very much disagrees. HIA 80's as the SLP is 4 states north of the GFS. Tie breaker? Icon is more like GFS. CMC would feature board members running for the ledges though the cool weather does eventually return.
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MDT squeezes off 7 days in a row of below average temps starting Sat...on the 12Z GFS.
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64 and windy at noon. 15 sustained with gusts over 20. HIA areas in the low 70's...others mid to upper 60's.
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State College specific as to the temps
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12Z Nam and HRRR both suggest 70-75 for the LSV today and tomorrow. So I am going to guess 74 at MDT today and 76 tomorrow. Friday stays in the 50's at MDT and Sun the 40's (on the Nam).
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55 here at 10. Raised several degrees the last 30 min. 63 at MDT.
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Just broke 48 here. LOL. 70 is going to be tough today.
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The Carlisle/Camp Hill/Capital District beats MOS guidance and NWS Zones by 4-8 degrees most sunny days now.
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It will be interesting if we ever find out what is going on. NWS and all models understate your temps almost every day. Forecasts are fine in most areas away from the I81/I83 corridor close to the Burg. You guys should be be tying or beating DCA every day. LOL. HRRR says you get low 70's today.
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That is how much. 1-2"
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Yep. its like we almost have to ignore the extremes and go with middle ground forecasting. Your neck of the woods never really gets above norm's in a quick run through.
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6Z GFS: MDT gets around 60 Sat and Sun (probably over with HIA) and then stays between 49 and 40 from Sunday evening until Thursday afternoon. Temp does not actually breach 60 until Nov 3rd. Would put a large dent into the positive departures (at least the high parts). Lots of rain next week helping to minimalize temp movement.
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45 here now. Got down to 42 earlier.
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With a 24 degree temp drop, anything is possible in pillow.
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Hoping for a 40-45 here tonight.
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There were some GFS runs several days ago that were hinting at snow wet snowflakes.
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The 18Z GFS would push MDT into the low 80's on Thursday if you add their 5-10 HIA on.
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So you dropped 24 degrees?
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57 here. Which makes sense. We both went down about 10 degrees. It's 62 at short pump right now.
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66 today for the high here. HIA in full effect like most of this summer. You guys are ballin like Central VA. Glad I did not buy over there if this is the new norm. DCA was at 74 today. Should not be the same temp as DCA day after day.
