Bubbler86

And it is like 1/10th of an inch for those areas. LOL

A windy, cold 36 at noon.

Lollipops of over 3" in the LSV. Icon took a slight step back with intensity of the snow but still decent. Well more than slight for northern LSV.

The rgem surprisingly came north with the vort though it too basically loses it. But, yea the Friday night vort has sped up some and the whole moisture profile changed in 12-24 hours.

Plus, some of it is what is being verified. I suspect PSU is talking LR patterns and the model's ability to slowly adjust changes through runs vs. jumping from one extreme to another. But I meant what I said about the EC yesterday. It was dethroned long ago for my purposes of shorter ranger forecasting. I ignored it all summer because it was rarely correct for ground truth weather.

Up to the Icon to save the Icon storm.

Roll out the rgem on good radiational cooling nights.

Nam12 really minoring out the Friday night chance for areas to our west...disappointing. Hope it is an off run. It may amp up a bit as it gets closer to our area.

@Coop_Mason what the? Bottom half of your own county. ...Adams County... 2 WNW Lake Meade 7.0 in 0814 AM 02/13 Public 3 NNW York Springs 6.0 in 0800 AM 02/13 Public Biglerville 3.0 WSW 5.3 in 0700 AM 02/13 COCORAHS Biglerville 5.2 in 0745 AM 02/13 COOP 1 N Carroll Valley 5.0 in 1030 AM 02/13 Trained Spotter Cashtown 4.8 in 0847 AM 02/13 Trained Spotter Abbottstown 2.0 N 4.0 in 0800 AM 02/13 COCORAHS 1 SW Mcsherrystown 3.7 in 0930 AM 02/13 Trained Spotter

Model verification for MDT's 7.7" of snow on the normal Global and Meso models at 48 and 24 hours out from 12Z Yesterday (Sun and Mon 12Z Runs). Cannot see the HRRR's on Pivotal at that point. Numbers are rounded and pivotal keeps switching from 10:1 or Kuch so tried to double check. EC and UK are 10:1. Sun 12Z GFS-6" Nam12K-3" UK-3" EC-2" Fv3-1" Rgem-1" Nam 3k-1" GEM-1" ICON-0 Mon 12Z Nam 3k-6" GFS-5" Nam12K-5" Fv3-4" GEM-3" UK-3" ICON-2" EC-2" Rgem-1"

That system has the potential to give him snow...he should be all over it. Short Pump Jack.

LR Modeling keeps the MA LR thread in business. They should put Google Ad's on there to monetize it.

This year could be one to remember for having normal or better snow despite being one of the warmest winters ever. I am not going into the CC convo, just stating the facts in a vacuum of where we stand this year with 2 weeks left in Met winter. I see nothing on the GFS to give any hope of putting a serious dent in the current AN departure for the month.

As we get to the mid-point of a typical Feb (apologies to Leap year this year), MDT has had no BN days the entire month. If today's ends up AN, probable with a low of only 32 so far, it will be the only February in the 2000's that this has happened. I did not look back to see when the last time it happened past the year 2000. MDT has reached the 40's or higher every day this month. Also, PennLive was wrong. MDT did record 7.7" yesterday.

29 here this Am. Nice agreement among the GFS, Nam, Rgem and Icon this Am with the Friday night system. Euro and UK Outliers showing it sliding through the Carolina's. I like the timing right now with snow Friday night and not losing Saturday for doing stuff.

Another interesting fact, MDT never got below freezing and only hit 32 for a few minutes. LNS never got to 32.

Yea, I was adding to the facts for when the real/correct number comes out. It was actually 2-3 hours after the snow finished. If they report 7.7" it could be 5" depth 2-3 hours after the snow ended.

MDT was down to 2" at 7PM.

Mdt was reporting 5" depth just after the snow ended.

WGAL blaming trucks with empty trailers for the I83 issues this AM. Plus, had a snowman built by a 2-year-old in Maytown.

The models were super consistent in keeping rain over here longer than other areas. I am glad the Blizz Storm got you guys so good.

Loudest I heard since summer thunderstorms....including the rain at 5AM when many of you had switched to snow. I am not a melter/qpf type person, but I think I was close to 2" total over here as well. I know I was at 1 1/4" just from rain/before the snow.

Nighttime fall will help with accums as well....and allow me to still get out on Sat.

GFS not too shabby.

Rgem even less interaction with a faster forward speed....light snow overnight Friday into Saturday AM. The Icon has a similar low position at this point but is much more juiced and 4MB's lower.