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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. So, the last sentence is fantasy not sports. Got it! LOL.
  2. Yoda posted the Sterling AFD Severe discussion in the MA thread. Canderson may have to live vicariously on this one. SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... A lead wave ahead of a frontal system over the Ohio River Valley will approach the area late Wednesday. Ridging will crest over the area before heights begin to fall by Wednesday night. Given the increasingly warm and unstable airmass, as well as some added lift from terrain and the approach system to the west, a few thunderstorms could develop mainly west of the Blue Ridge late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night. Sufficient shear will be present for storm organization, so a couple of strong to severe thunderstorms can`t be ruled out. The frontal system is set to cross the region on Thursday. Cooling air moving in aloft above unseasonably warm and moist air near the surface will likely result in moderate instability. This coupled with moderately strong shear and forcing along the approaching front should result in widespread showers and thunderstorms, some of which could become capable of producing severe weather in the form of damaging wind gusts and large hail. Tornado potential is a bit more uncertain given relatively weaker flow closer to the surface, but there is enough shear for supercells. Also, any boundary interactions (terrain/bay/river breeze circulations) could enhance this activity. Temperatures will be very warm with highs well into the 80s and lows in the 60s to around 70 east of the mountains Wednesday into Thursday, 20 to 30 degrees above normal and more akin to summer than spring. Temperatures will take a tumble Thursday night behind the front.
  3. We have had short spurts of sports all winter, not my intention to devolve. Buc's looked exciting last night so a congrats more than anything.
  4. Now is his time to gloat about the Buc's win last night.
  5. Sure, just off to our SE....not sprawling into the Ohio Valley for over a week.
  6. No doubt, just hope that uber ridge does not set up both for temps and precip. Warm is one thing, one to two weeks of a constant "high pressure" is another. I was not ready for my AC bill to jump yet. Noticed a little tropical like storm spinning around off the coast of Florida.
  7. Yep, Johnny Cash is coming to shut down the mowing.
  8. The GFS has been wrong at ~300 hours all year so far so who knows...but that is ugly look for temps and hydrology around here.
  9. Someone should do a safety check on @TimB when he sees this.
  10. Anytime I see 85-87 on those Panels, I feel CXY itching to prove something.
  11. CMC keeps saying to watch for a 90 tomorrow or Thur
  12. Summer like "ring of fire" sets up over the East Coast in Mid-April on the GFS...after teasing some possible snow flakes on Easter. CMC teases someone hitting 90 on Wunderground later this week.
  13. There is a pocket of 30's North and NW of Harrisburg. Some reports in the LSV are in the mid 50's! 54 just to my west.
  14. That would put a serious dent into the mowing wars.
  15. I am not sure if the norms are off a base set of years or longer term. As of right now the country as a whole is doing "ok". Our issue is that we would usually be stocking up on precip to prepare for the real hot season and it is not happening. Texas and the immediate states to their North are the worst areas in the country right now (Cont. 48).
  16. https://pa.water.usgs.gov/apps/drought/ Above is a really cool USGS informational link for each county. It tracks the 4 indicators below. Adams county is in the red on Ground Water meaning they are in a Drought Emergency on that one indicator but overall, it is not too bad yet... though almost all LSV and MSV counties are in the yellow on at least one indicator. 90 Day Precip Surface Water Ground Water Palmer Index https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/palmer-drought-severity-index-pdsi (What is the Palmer Index)
  17. While there, bring the Mav's some respect as well....they have lost all of it at this point.
  18. I think you mentioned that before but was surprised it was so high. On MDT's scale we (Code: Rou) finished March about ~2 to 2.5 degrees below normal with an average temp of about 39.5. I keep hastily recorded records, but they are close. I realize we are supposed to be below MDT but quite the disparity. Temp wise March was quite cool here.
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