Bubbler86

I was thinking today was going to be mostly sunny much of the afternoon....just based on the model depicts.

The GFS (and Gefs) has been signaling this chance for a good week now. That has meant squat this year but interesting to track if it gets closer.

Saturday is "get out of the house day". I am still mostly WFH.

Ha, ha, thanks. I will be away today so someone else will need to do the parsing later. The 6Z 3K Nam has a gust and squall line moving through the LSV around 7PM. The HRRR is much less impressive storm wise but does have generally windy conditions for a longer period. A spring sultry 58 here this AM.

Yep, it moved much of the action to our south.

The most impressive thing about the 18Z GFS are these 2PM Temps.

RUIN Easter?

The HRRR in particular changed quite a bit...the 3K lowered winds in the LSV quite a bit as well. It could all come back at 0Z just like the EC Easter Nor'easter winter saving istorm could be gone.

18Z Nam and HRRR both downplayed tomorrow a bit in LSV wise vs. 12Z ...both winds and storms. Line of storms a bit beefier Central (Burg and North) and N PA on 3K while it is really nothing on the HRRR.

The people that gave up following weather and models will not like that.

I like their summaries at the bottom...listing the big cities

LSV adjoining counties in MD have the high wind watch now.

Oh, I was not bashing, sorry if it came across that way. Yea, scary out there. Rain just entering Franklin county right now. Hope some of the heavier stuff can make it here but HRRR has it faltering as it downslopes. A raw 45 out.

Yes, that was what I posted this AM as to what the Meso's were showing. A bit windy weather most of tomorrow than a 2-3 hour period of heavier winds then back down again. I think gusts can do damage, but we get over 50MPH gusts here quite often over the year due to the elevation and, when positioned right, being upslope when winds careen in from the west. Lots of branches and such and risk of power outages but not much house damage. A constant/sustained wind in the 50's and 60's will definitely wear on and pull up loose shingles if it goes on too long.

I will go with 52 for MDT, 59 for LNS.

Most of the model gust maps shown on MA seem a bit higher. The lack of rain is a major disappointment if it happens as portrayed by the Meso's.

Meso's really heating the LSV up tomorrow afternoon...some mid to upper 70's readings. Very possible the high and low tomorrow are close to 40 degrees apart for some.

High Wind Watch extends into far Western LSV now. AFD suggests a Wind Advisory coming for the rest of LSV later today.

Do you have the inside scoop on the return of Voyager? Water runs through Pillow back on!

Verbatim a vigorous but very short-lived line of heavy rain with lightning and thunder and then very windy from about 6-8PM for the LSV. Not a lot of precip on either the Nam 3K or HRRR.

3K goes from 64 degrees to 41 degrees at MDT between 6 and 7PM. The Good 'Ole 7PM low. Some 20's look very possible Sunday AM.

32 for the low this AM...33 right now.

Does anyone know if the live weather balloon radiosondes/soundings are limited to just IAD and Pitt as to our local offerings? This page seems to indicate as such. The SkewT's are just for those two locations. Upper-Air page: RAL Real-Time Weather (ucar.edu)

O's whipping up on the Sox to start the season is becoming an every other year thing it seems.

As sad as it sounds, lots of people hope for shingle damage so they can get new roofs. Each person has their own perspective. Roof replacement is expensive.