Bubbler86

Those pictures you were sending last month (or before) were two meals in one pic.

That is higher than many (if not all) of us will get today.

New drought map is out, and they ignore us. Did not change much if at all and they do not mention the monthly 3+ deficit in their write up. We are not behind where we were before the late April rains and the drought monitor indexes all are not good. Streams, ground water, etc. Northeast Drought Summary A brief shot of rain provided some relief from short-term dryness. As heavy rain spread northward along the Atlantic Coast, daily-record rainfall totals for May 20 totaled at least 2 to 3 inches or more in Providence, Rhode Island (3.02 inches), and Bridgeport, Connecticut (2.34 inches). As a result, there were modest reductions in the coverage of abnormal dryness (D0), mainly from Long Island to Maine. As rain arrived, topsoil moisture rated very short to short by the U.S. Department of Agriculture peaked in Maine at 65%.

That whale is the main reason we are sweating any rain chances this weekend. We have gone from the SER to the NER sticking it to us. Of course Memorial day fun folks love it (at least inland, MD and south beaches still looks sour).

I think Sun and Mon are still in play. GFS backed away but Nam and Icon jumped back on board. Better south than north.

38 for the low in the 'Ville.

Some potted plants are in, some covered.

Record chances shattered (on the 18Z GFS). Icon keeps it just south.

@canderson check out the 85 and above chart. Several in 50's or lower as to totals until 2015 when 61 is the lowest and half are 70 and above. From 2003-2014 only 2 were 70 and above.

Lets get the mean for the last 20 years then 50 years. Mean has jumped considerably once you get into the smaller sample size. August seems to be the culprit.

I did above. @canderson(Edit, well I thought I did but had not so here it is) I cannot imagine ever going a summer in most of Eastern PA cities without getting dozens of 90's.

If it is not 90, it is not going into the chart :-)

Here are some other graphs....Williamsport has reached ninety 110 times in the last 5 years. Lancaster had 146.

Here is our closest NWS site showing days at or above 90 since 2018. 170 total. July 2020 had 2/3 of the month at 90 or above.

Hey, I do not record daily stats but up until last year we had no issue getting over 90 quite often the previous 3 years I was here. My closest NWS station is HGR and they are quite high as well....700' I think.

GFS still teasing a rainy Sunday though a sharp cut off to the NE

I am over 800 feet and would guess I have had forty plus 90-degree days over the last 4 years alone. Last year was slow though. I racked up the totals the 3 years prior Elevation does not always win. LOL.

Quick count (so do not quote me) is 15 in Aug and Sept which was the time of the info above, 32 for 2022 as a whole and 4 last May! The lows may be lower this year but so are the highs.

Canderson is going to furiously type up a reply to this. LOL. Harrisburg Heat island

Cool mornings and the warmer highs are just barely over normal. MDT has only hit 80 one time this month with a chance they get no more until June though today is probably the best chance to get it.

MDT keeps the BN trend going standing at -2.1 for the month right now with 13 days BN and 10 AN. The big difference is the AN normal days have mostly been minimal with only one day more than 4 AN. BN wise there have been 8 days of departures of 4 degrees or more. Could see a double-digit BN departure tomorrow and maybe another one this weekend if the slow moving ULL does make its presence known.

Seesaw.....6Z GFS wetter for this weekend after a dry 0Z run.

I bet you see some 30's if you mean cold? Rain seems scattered though that Nam depiction would be nice for SE LSV.

47 out right now...as we prepare for Frosty Thursday and Friday AM's in the Commonwealth. .SYNOPSIS... A mostly dry pattern will continue this week in central PA with little to no rainfall, comfortable days with low humidity, and cool/chilly nights. Rain chances are now limited to only Wednesday afternoon and evening. Near-freezing temperatures Wednesday and Thursday night in the northern tier could damage sensitive vegetation. Seasonable temperatures are forecast for Memorial Day weekend with a low chance of rain showers. Before that, heads up LSV!