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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. The only model that does not show rain in the LSV is the Canadian. Even Dr. No says yes though lighter than some of the other more siggy looks. Icon is close to being dry but certainly not Mostly Sunny.
  2. They sit at a nearly 1.5" deficit so far this month. Next up is Tue. Looks promising for wet a lot of areas south. Want to keep the Paweather 540 line out of PA to allow for the front to straddle a bit farther north vs. the RGEM look though.
  3. 47 this AM. A week of cold mornings on tap. Colder spots could get in the 30's and 40's every AM. Thur and maybe Fri AM for potted plant advisories.
  4. We saw some sun her late as well. Down to 59 now so a well BN high of 64 today in the West 'Ville. USGS need not stop out here for quite some time with rain also possibly coming Tue (and possible Frost). Blizz may have to post the drought maps for a while.
  5. Frog strangler today.....best all day soaker in a long time. Slow, steady rain. Between .4" and .5" and the high so far was 64 at 9AMish. 61 right now.
  6. Temps in the 60-70 range several days. Great IMO!
  7. Defintely. I drove from Waynesboro to Chambersburg and it was Rain plus most of the way. Drought map takes a hit here.
  8. Just scanned some web cams and its pretty wet around the south side of Harrisburg. Base of Reesers Summit near CXY here.
  9. MDT has been reporting rain since 5AM but definitely a cut off farther North and East from there. It has not amounted to much here. Still less than .1. These types of rains are ok for the grass but not much in the way of streams and ground water. I finally unparalyzed myself and got a mower; Honda Gas. Honda getting out of the mower business in the US so thought I would jump aboard before too late.
  10. Wow, if the GFS is on to something we are going to have a most excellent end to Spring over the next two weeks. A persistent trough, filled with Vorts that keep rotating down over or above us, keeps temps more than in check, well BN, and on and off chances of light rain. There are a couple chances for frost but other than that, wow. Love if it comes close to right. Suck it Western US.
  11. A mild 63 and light to moderate rain this AM. Some of the LSV looks wet.
  12. If canderson is right, mdt will be right back where they started prior to the late April rains. With that said it has rained in the last 10 days so not sure why month keeps coming up. Just 12 days ago mdt had more than 2"
  13. It was only 72 at mdt the last time I checked. I you are just the hotbox! Lol
  14. Just something to keep an eye on. Gfs keeps suggesting 35sh mid next week. Cmc a bit warmer
  15. It looks like incredible weather outside the frost risk the next two weeks. Tired of moving potted plants in and out.
  16. It is time for full Monty to move on. Down by 30 at the half in elimination games 2 years in a row.
  17. 18Z HRRR is an irritating, all day light rain tomorrow for the LSV.
  18. The record at MDT today is 90 if it was not mentioned. MDT's max has been 84/85 at this point.
  19. MDT at 81. 78 here. GFS says this is the hottest day the next almost two weeks.
  20. Better than getting bit! The sun is bad right now. We are about 30 days from its worst.
  21. GFS has the 2PM temp at 61 for MDT tomorrow. Rgem 81. Cloud and rained related. Everything I looked at still had Mothers day as a Dandy Chamber day with highs 68-74 for the LSV. AFD talks about the weekend uncertainty and a cooler regime next week. Forst chances still alive next week. Model guidance continues to show a considerable spread/differences in the location and amount rain/QPF so there remains uncertainty in the forecast, esp the northward extent of the showers, highlighted by the HRW FV3 that indicates the main axis of rain during the late morning into the mid afternoon bisecting the state from NW to SE. NAM Nest, HRRR and HRW ARW all focus the showers across the SW quarter to third of PA Sat morning and midday. QPF amounts range from less than 0.10 of an inch across the Northern Mtns to a little over 0.10 just south of Interstate 80, to over one third of an inch in Southern Somerset county where a few TSRA are possible early Sat. Model consensus points to brightening skies from northwest to southeast during the late afternoon as a drier northerly flow develops with strong high pressure building into Ontario. Breaking clouds allow temperatures to reach the 70-75F range in most places. Cooler and drier airmass in place Saturday night will drop lows by about 10 degrees from Friday night back to more seasonal levels in the 45-55F range. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... The long range forecast will be dominated by upper-level troughiness over the northeastern United States. This should result in near to below normal temperatures next week, along with a periodic chance of showers whenever a shortwave rotates around the base of the trough. One such wave could bring a few showers to primarily southern PA Sunday night into early Monday. Then a cold front is progged to pass southward across the area Tuesday or Tuesday night, accompanied by another chc of showers. Finally, a more substantial frontal system could approach late next week, with an increasing chc of showers later Thursday or Friday. &&
  22. Niang is running down the sidelines pointing at himself like Caramel Anthony used to do.
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