Bubbler86

The GFS marched straight to some "Summer Forst" next week. After the modeling failure yesterday, safe to question but not seeing much in the way of continued summer weather at 500 on the GFS or CMC. The Atlantic does not want to let Winter go. I would define summer at temps 85 and above.

Nooners...a Chamber like 62 degrees.

You had a frost advisory not too far from you.

Smoke must be quite high in allowing us to dip into the 30's.

Thanks. I checked the HRRR smoke panels, and nothing showed up on the ones I looked. Must have been the wrong panels. They have different panels for different layers in the atmosphere. But it surely does look like smoke.

Sky looks smoky this Am. Sun being blanked out. HRRR Smoke panel does not show anything though.

39 here. 36 is even lower than I thought you would get

Philly stole their lucky charms

I know you are talking over several months, but May actually is close to 1" a week. MDT averages .95" (rounded) per week in May and stands .97" behind for the month as of yesterday. They are also 2.43" behind for the year as of yesterday. MDT's norm May precip is 3.83".

Only if it is before the end of July.

Frost on the other side of the Pillow tonight @mahantango#1? Advisories up for parts of this sub. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1216 PM EDT Tue May 9 2023 PAZ004-010>012-017>019-024-033-041-045-101200- /O.NEW.KCTP.FR.Y.0006.230510T0600Z-230510T1200Z/ Warren-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre- Southern Centre-Cambria-Somerset-Northern Lycoming- Southern Clinton- Including the cities of Warren, St. Marys, Ridgway, Emporium, Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, State College, Johnstown, Somerset, Trout Run, and Lock Haven 1216 PM EDT Tue May 9 2023 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 34 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 8 AM EDT Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Near-ground freezing temperatures could kill uncovered sensitive outdoor vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants and vegetation from the cold. Potted plants should be brought inside. The latest forecast information can be found on the NWS State College Facebook page and Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or on the web at weather.gov/ctp. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://weather.gov/ctp

Have Fun, Mike.

Definitely better than getting 3" one week and little for 2-3 weeks. I am sure someone has decent stats, but we lose a large amount of the 3" deluge to runoff vs. 1" on 3 different days. The plants especially need the rain spread out.

EB Nooners due to a meeting...light to mod rain and 54.

I was not going to be the first to say it (and I am getting a decent soaker today...at least grass wise) but yes, it goes a week or two with no rain and it gets dry fast.

Still raining here. About .13" now. No rain shadow today.

The high may be over normal if the sun really cranks it up. Still pouring here. Nice little event for the grass.

MU is reporting rain but I doubt it adds up to much.

MDT recorded a T. Not impressive. We are up to 1/10th of an inch as it is raining quite hard now. Will make mow #6 happen this week.

One spotter south of Mechanicsburg reporting about 1/4". Lighter amounts outside the cells though. Only a road wetter here so far. Central York county getting pounded on radar right now. The temps near 50 being forecast just about 24 hours certainly did not materilize.

Pretty large swath of rain entering the LSV right now. Not sure how much is reaching the ground. Appears to be some heavier downpours and probably some rumbles in the central and western LSV.

Catoctains win again!

The models have it getting to our area after sunrise tomorrow though some are south....

More zone failures. From their AFD. High today at MDT was 75 or 76 so 55 or 56 if you take away 20 (probably higher at midnight though) Max temps for Tuesday will be a solid 10 to 15F lower than today and in some places across the central and south - up to 20 deg F cooler. Edit @canderson some of the latest meso's have a later afternoon spike in temps tomorrow. Hrrr and Rgem have MDT in the 70's. Nam has a late spike too.