Bubbler86

Could see some drastic temp differences this weekend. May be in the 50's near the M/D line (whether in PA or MD) and near 80 north of Harrisburg. The record low max at MDT for Sunday is 57. Still a decent chance of some rain south of Harrisburg.

Progs look pretty warm for a few days next week.

The GFS has been doing a good job forecasting these dry, cold nights and it does not show another period of them for over 10 days out (June 8th) @ 300 hours+ so you know how that is....not likely at 300 hours. So, after tomorrow AM's low 40's this might be it.

42 for the low...up to 44 now.

Channel 8 met pointed out that as is, May 2023 would be the 6th driest month ever. Not sure if that was pointed out by anyone. He called the whale high "Large and in charge".

A VERY LATE potted plant advisory. Did not think we would see one more in our sub. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1022 AM EDT Thu May 25 2023 PAZ017>019-045-261100- /O.EXB.KCTP.FR.Y.0009.230526T0700Z-230526T1100Z/ Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Southern Clinton- Including the cities of DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, State College, and Lock Haven 1022 AM EDT Thu May 25 2023 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Areas of frost formation, mainly in rural valley locations, where temperatures could fall as low as 34. * WHERE...Clearfield, Northern Centre, Southern Centre and Southern Clinton Counties. * WHEN...From 3 AM to 7 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Near-ground freezing temperatures could kill unprotected outdoor vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants and vegetation from the cold. Potted plants should be brought inside. The latest forecast information can be found on the NWS State College Facebook page and Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or on the web at weather.gov/ctp. &&

We are way above -4 right now. We are into the -3's this month alone but it was 2 or 3 more inches the first 4 months. We meaning MDT. On some other places I hang out, they are calling this high the Pig High.

The Whale High will just not allow that low to climb enough on most progs. The Beluga Drought.

OC, MD is already resigned to this being their fate but with more rain than spritz.

Nooners 60 and breezy. The NAM continues to put us under the influence of the ULL this weekend...Rgem and Icon real close as well. GFS rolling out at the at the moment. (Edit-GFS is still close but cuts off right at the M/D line...much warmer than this look below) Like every Memorial day it seems, feel sorry for the beach goers where the low gets up to. Skee Ball day it is.

Was just outside....55 and not the least bit warm. Incredible.

Those pictures you were sending last month (or before) were two meals in one pic.

That is higher than many (if not all) of us will get today.

New drought map is out, and they ignore us. Did not change much if at all and they do not mention the monthly 3+ deficit in their write up. We are not behind where we were before the late April rains and the drought monitor indexes all are not good. Streams, ground water, etc. Northeast Drought Summary A brief shot of rain provided some relief from short-term dryness. As heavy rain spread northward along the Atlantic Coast, daily-record rainfall totals for May 20 totaled at least 2 to 3 inches or more in Providence, Rhode Island (3.02 inches), and Bridgeport, Connecticut (2.34 inches). As a result, there were modest reductions in the coverage of abnormal dryness (D0), mainly from Long Island to Maine. As rain arrived, topsoil moisture rated very short to short by the U.S. Department of Agriculture peaked in Maine at 65%.

That whale is the main reason we are sweating any rain chances this weekend. We have gone from the SER to the NER sticking it to us. Of course Memorial day fun folks love it (at least inland, MD and south beaches still looks sour).

I think Sun and Mon are still in play. GFS backed away but Nam and Icon jumped back on board. Better south than north.

38 for the low in the 'Ville.

Some potted plants are in, some covered.

Record chances shattered (on the 18Z GFS). Icon keeps it just south.

@canderson check out the 85 and above chart. Several in 50's or lower as to totals until 2015 when 61 is the lowest and half are 70 and above. From 2003-2014 only 2 were 70 and above.

Lets get the mean for the last 20 years then 50 years. Mean has jumped considerably once you get into the smaller sample size. August seems to be the culprit.

I did above. @canderson(Edit, well I thought I did but had not so here it is) I cannot imagine ever going a summer in most of Eastern PA cities without getting dozens of 90's.

If it is not 90, it is not going into the chart :-)

Here are some other graphs....Williamsport has reached ninety 110 times in the last 5 years. Lancaster had 146.