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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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66 here this AM. Nice streak of nights in the 60's (and 50's soon?) going on. My zones have dropped 90's from the next week forecast except Sunday...80's next week. Canada leading the way for the NWS forecast?
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Haha. To clarify, I do not have an issue with ensembles unless they are used like an Op. Using an ensemble for snow maps is like throwing 20 dice, averaging them all then pretending you only threw one die. I will bet $100 that ITT does not post ensemble snow maps!
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Have to protect muh models. Maybe set it at 7 days and back.
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Will have to pick a " period" and not add on when certain runs say snow and others do not.
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Is this the place to post the 18Z GFS has punted the heat wave until 8 more days out? If not, apologies. GFS has Rou temp in the mid to upper 60's Monday at 2PM.
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When I lived in Philly, a lot of people used to use the term "roof it" to mean get rid of something. CPC is roofing today's 12Z runs as to this forums area.
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We had the 540 line 2 weeks ago. I mentio9ned but you may have missed it.
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38 days to go.
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I am expecting some posts on the CMC late tonight. Yay on Nay on the heat wave! I think the fact the Euro is questioning the ridge position is enough to wonder right now.
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It has been a while since the CMC elicited this many posts. Viva Le Montreal.
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The EC is sort of a tweener between the CMC and GFS as to 500H and resulting temps/precip. No extreme heat but probably about half the days in the low 90's and half in the mid to upper 80's Sunday on (MDT.) But technically no heat wave on the entire run unless you want to figure the mid 80's turning into 90 on Wed .
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It was not just reading 2M maps, the entire 500H is not conducive to extreme heat. There is a trough over us in early August like you know who in Richmond said there would be.
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That is the same as posting a zone to debate a model. LOL. The model says what it says. Nothing says excessive heat right now. Have not checked the Euro yet.
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CMC-No Heat Wave though entire run. Troughty like DT wants. GFS-Warm with a few hots days and a few cooler days mixed in.
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1930's, wow. MDT had 9 during that 10 year span.
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At least that is more in line with what happened. I do not know how they rectified it though. Nothing on their FB about it. I saw .44 originally.
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Hopefully you scoop up a storm today.
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I liked adding netted to the bagging, scoring, etc.
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There are lots of posts about .01-.09 totals. LOL
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Sunday was the hottest day in recorded history, according to a climate tracking agency that has monitored temperatures since the mid-1900s. Around a hundred cities across the US are experiencing their hottest start to summer on record and swaths of southern Europe have been grappling with triple-digit temperatures. Global average temperatures typically peak during the Northern Hemisphere summer, between late June and early August. They also fluctuate based on natural factors: seasons, large-scale climate patterns and solar activity — and on unnatural factors: the pollution from human activity, including the burning of fossil fuels, which is chiefly driving the planet’s temperature steadily upward.
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No Heat Wave per DT? MU must not have seen the new weather feature, the New Big Trought, when making his forecast.
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On this date in 1888, the very first month MDT has record of temps, it reached 85. Ironic. The next day it reached 88. Not sure how everyone survived that one. LOL A rainy Wed morning for some. Light rain and 67 here.
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I am just dismayed that 89 is now a heat wave. Is anything above Normal now a heat wave? MDT bagged an 88 today which is one AN. Call out the news!
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Yea, that gets to be everyday fare down there. If you send your daughter to UF she is probably going to be showing off like that.
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