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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Will have to cut back on showers and car washes!
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Maybe I have found a middle ground https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bal_du_Bois
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TCC vs. DT in a no holds barred match?
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Hanover about to get their second jack of the day (somewhere near town)
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Team the GFS super heat is past mid-week next week. Friday on...one or two maps were 102 or 103 at 18Z. Speaking of 18Z it is sure to change then, just the mid 100's caught my eye.
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Oh boy, the GFS has always been on the heat wave bandwagon, but it really stepped up the game today. CMC still sees breaks and no Heatwave through its run.
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Another day, another nooners in the 70's. Cloudy and 76.
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Are we still talking weather?
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Sunday seems hot but then the temps reverse for the first few days of next week as ITT mentioned. They could be wrong but as of this AM, the heat wave has been delayed for the LSV. Only one 90 on the entire zone forecast.
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A punt for over here though I know this our not our AFD. The heat wave was supposed to be in full blaze by Monday.
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66 here this AM. Nice streak of nights in the 60's (and 50's soon?) going on. My zones have dropped 90's from the next week forecast except Sunday...80's next week. Canada leading the way for the NWS forecast?
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Haha. To clarify, I do not have an issue with ensembles unless they are used like an Op. Using an ensemble for snow maps is like throwing 20 dice, averaging them all then pretending you only threw one die. I will bet $100 that ITT does not post ensemble snow maps!
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Have to protect muh models. Maybe set it at 7 days and back.
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Will have to pick a " period" and not add on when certain runs say snow and others do not.
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Is this the place to post the 18Z GFS has punted the heat wave until 8 more days out? If not, apologies. GFS has Rou temp in the mid to upper 60's Monday at 2PM.
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When I lived in Philly, a lot of people used to use the term "roof it" to mean get rid of something. CPC is roofing today's 12Z runs as to this forums area.
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We had the 540 line 2 weeks ago. I mentio9ned but you may have missed it.
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38 days to go.
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I am expecting some posts on the CMC late tonight. Yay on Nay on the heat wave! I think the fact the Euro is questioning the ridge position is enough to wonder right now.
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It has been a while since the CMC elicited this many posts. Viva Le Montreal.
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The EC is sort of a tweener between the CMC and GFS as to 500H and resulting temps/precip. No extreme heat but probably about half the days in the low 90's and half in the mid to upper 80's Sunday on (MDT.) But technically no heat wave on the entire run unless you want to figure the mid 80's turning into 90 on Wed .
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It was not just reading 2M maps, the entire 500H is not conducive to extreme heat. There is a trough over us in early August like you know who in Richmond said there would be.
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That is the same as posting a zone to debate a model. LOL. The model says what it says. Nothing says excessive heat right now. Have not checked the Euro yet.
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CMC-No Heat Wave though entire run. Troughty like DT wants. GFS-Warm with a few hots days and a few cooler days mixed in.
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1930's, wow. MDT had 9 during that 10 year span.
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