Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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The Cashtown/Bubbler dry gulch express struck out today. We did just receive the notice from our water company stating that watering the lawn is no longer allowed due to forecast drought conditions. So like last year the midnight sprinkler guy will be coming to my yard. -
Well all the guidance I just looked at suggests today is now our better shot for rain out this far west. HRR, NAM, GFS all bring showers "around" this afternoon. Tomorrow's rains all shoot by to the east or south now.
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12 GFS Spins up a minor Surface Low off the SE coast and the interaction between it and the dying ULL low over New England allows for some decent rains Wednesday in and around the LSV and East. And this is after some bonus rain tomorrow. Edit-The Euro will have none of that nonsense though. Basically no rain for all of PA, except the far east, through July 10.
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I still have hopes on tomorrow afternoon.
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We need that ULL over New England to retrograde a bit more than forecast.
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Adding May and June it looks like MDT is about 2" below normal during that period. You may be near your norm for that period with that much rain this month.
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Unofficial again as my equipment is amateurish, which is why I frequently use a neighboring weather station to report, but we are about 6" behind for May and June. Average (whatever that means anymore) for May and June is about 9"or so and we have not broken 3" total for the last 7 weeks. Just bad timing at the start of growing season. MDT was in the same boat entering June but has had a good 5" of rain this month so far. I realize most of the LSV is not facing the same predicament.
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Pretty extreme for you. Even worse than me. I have unofficially had about 2.5" since early May but the overly dry (but nice for getting out) weather has made that not nearly enough. The farmer I mentioned said his corn is about 1 foot short from where it should be. He is convinced we will need a dying 'Cane to save his crop. I think he can make it if we manage to get some summer type rains every few days but next two weeks look bad. Must be a stressful life...farming with no irrigation.
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Yea, the earliness of the dry season this year is going to be problematic for some people. 2020 is the year of problems.
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Hopefully. Next week plus look dry. I live beside a farmer and he said this is the worst start to the season for him in 40 some years (mostly corn). Unfortunately these random afternoon 1" downpours do not help him as much as an all day soaker.
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We lost out last night.
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Trenton got raked on pretty good. Philly missed out it appears.
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Unfortunately it's the result the HRRR, Euro and NAM showed. So I am just wishcasting.
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Flooding in West central pa. If that complex of storms makes it to us in 2 to 3 hours that will be a nice surprise.
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I think any given area in the S Central and S/E PA area is going to have to get lucky to have any substantial rain in the next 10 days. GFS likes tomorrow afternoon but could not find any other support. Westerly winds gusting to 30 here right now.
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76 degrees at 7:15AM. Still looks pretty dry in my neck of the woods. Northern PA does better.
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Yea for me I was in the sun and the breeze is just blowing warm air at this point. Not record breaking heat but came in feeling like I was hotter than I wanted to be.
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Was just outside for 30 min. It's hot out. May get a surprise 90 here today if clouds do not stop the rise. 87 right now.
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I saw the NWS AFD mentioning this...especially Sunday. The NAM and Euro are poo pooing it for the LSV. Keeps the LSV practically dry as the forcing veers off to the north. Hoping for some more welcome rains.
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I would be more excited to go there if it was called Decembertown or Januarytown. We almost moved to the Stoudtsburg Village in Adamstown so I would be more Maytown savvy if that had happened.
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The homestead gets a highlight on an AFD!
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I did not say ONLY. LOL. I said they scored. LOL. I did call my area a loser though.
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Looks like the West Shore and Harrisburg scored on this one. We just got a trace.
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Yea, it is nasty looking. First part is going to skip me to the north but may catch Cash.
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Start off your spiel with 'Well at least we are not in Florida or Texas" and it all sounds good from there.
