Ggem says this storm will miss us to the south https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2021011500&fh=228
i mean its not prefect but you have a severe well placed NAO block...a great 50/50 low. High pressure. EPO isnt perfect but ive seen worse Let this storm happen and we will call it a winter
we might have to wait till end of Jan/early Feb like our 2010 winter. We are still on track for a mini version of that winter minus the STJ, snow and cold
our only hope is the models dont really see this stuff clearly until 120-144 hours out. Then it starts looking more favorable. The PD storm in 03 was actually mainly a rain event on the models for a while