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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Tony Pann tweeting chance for rain snow mix in the Baltimore metro late Sunday into Monday. GFS and FV3 GFS have surface temps near 50 and 850 0 line a few hundred miles away. GGEM is upper 40s and similar 850s. what the f-ck is he talking about!?
  2. Registered for the skywarn basic class!
  3. Fall color seems to have taken a noticeable step in the last few days. Not moderate color yet, but I think we’ve certainly left “spotty” color behind.
  4. Violently agree. Baroclinic boundary is more onshore this time of year as well which guides this storm inland vs a winter case where they typically stay offshore.
  5. Good lawd give me the 6z GFS 78-108hr progression in 2-3 months time please. Textbook.
  6. BWI hit 32 on the intrahour. RIC fell short.
  7. It’s weird. He used to be a super pessimist on snow. Downplayed several of our historic storms at short leads as I recall.
  8. I have no idea what’s the best conditions.
  9. Up near Bahstan (Jesus save me from Sawx fans) for a funeral today. Frost everywhere. Much more fall color than Home, but doesn’t look like peak at all. Pretty late and lousy year for color everywhere it seems.
  10. Tony Pann was teasing this on Twitter. Plenty cold aloft. If there’s a convective shower, could have some flakes mixed in.
  11. Ian isn’t totally gone, just posts much, much less.
  12. We’ve had good posters leave for over moderation (Ian) and under moderation (Mitch).
  13. Yeah could be. Don’t think anyone gets to 32 this week but next week is probably an even money or better chance.
  14. Mostly well it seems. Definitely had some germination. We'll see how it looks next year. It's all very long right now as I haven't mowed in a few weeks between waiting for the grass seed to grow and having some dry days when I have free time.
  15. He still lives near BWI.
  16. Mitch joined Phillywx this month and has started posting there. That makes me sad
  17. 34 entries this year. Our average values are: DCA: 11/17/18 BWI: 11/3/18 IAD: 10/30/18 RIC: 11/16/18 Tie: 4.03" So a week to 10 days past climo for the most part. DCA value is close to climo I believe. Looks like next week has the first legit threat, particularly for the non-DCA locations. IAD has 1.02" of rain to date for reference. 2018 First Freeze Contest.xlsx
  18. Worst news I’ve heard yet.
  19. You probably will do a bit better on a long term average based on a bit more latitude and elevation. But they’re close enough that it will more come down to storm by storm details most years.
  20. Over 1”. That band looks like it will rain itself out overhead. Probably will be over 1.5” by the end. Hrrrrrrr sucked ballz today.
  21. I’d like this radar when it’s 50F colder please.
  22. Somewhere, Judah Cohen shed a tear just now.
  23. CPC usually just goes off enso state so with a weak to mod nino, you can imagine the temp and precip anomalies straightaway.
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