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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. This shows it well. Deeper but a bit more progressive.
  2. I’m only comparing the 6z and 0z maps @Weather Will posted, but 6z looks much deeper but a little more progressive with the shortwave? 6z has a broad 543 dm contour through the shortwave. 0z didn’t at all (only 546 dm) except for a tiny closed dot at the base.
  3. Let’s stop the jumps right there please before we have to start sweating mix.
  4. Dude, you should love it. @mitchnickposted elsewhere maps showing the 700mb RH and it was clearly north of the 12z. Probably would be a better run for the NW crew. eta…ok, maybe I missed sarcasm here…
  5. I got 3.5" out of that during my son's birthday party. Was expecting a dusting and got ice cold wind-whipped powder.
  6. Kill this storm and all in on Saturday. #Euro #RetakeTheThrone
  7. I think he means "initialization" instead of "innovation"? And that would impact would already be past. It wouldn't impact anything going forward.
  8. It is a bit weird. Euro inside D5? That used to be cash money. Hopefully still is? But can't deny the GFS has been doing very well this month. GGEM and crazy uncle Ukie have been all over the place.
  9. I haven't looked close enough to figure out the connection, but my instinct is that it's not a coincidence that the Euro is a whiff for Thursday and a big hit for Saturday. The other operational are showing more of a wave Thursday and then have little to nothing for Saturday. Maybe the lack of a Thursday wave keeps the baroclinic zone in a more favorable position to interact with the shortwave for Saturday?
  10. GEFS was terrible for this weekend. Doesn’t mean it will be for next weekend.
  11. Yes, and EPS resolution is still very high relative to other global operational models and especially other ensemble systems.
  12. I still have some slush under the fresh snow, at least in most spots.
  13. Temp almost reached 43F overnight. 33 now. Healthy fresh dusting on all surfaces. I didn’t clean my snowboard last evening so can’t take an official measurement, but think 0.2” of fresh snow after a patio table measurement.
  14. Yes. It’s total accumulation, not snow depth. That’s tracked independently. So DCA, for example, is up to 12.2” for the season I think.
  15. Looks like the rain lasts 3-4 hours? But damn, looks like a firehose.
  16. 2” at BWI and 2.6” at DCA. Not sure about IAD or RIC.
  17. My PWS says 32. Neighbor has 31. Radar is showing the dry slot, but we have a bunch of rain first.
  18. Questions now: how much snowpack survives the night? How warm does it get? Can we tack on any more tomorrow morning? 18z 3k NAM was bullish on snow tomorrow AM.
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