Jump to content

WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
  • Posts

    27,487
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. That part seems like a lock. But they’re still waffling on whether it couples with a +PNA and hence how chilly we get.
  2. I’m encouraged you think we’ll have legit threats this year and will join if such a miracle occurs
  3. @mattie gis a dork and he’s talking about lord of the rings
  4. I’d wager with how anomalous these first 10 days are, that seals the deal for a AN month. As we know, we drop >=+10F departures like Steph Curry shooting 3s, while we’ll eke out a couple -5F departures on our “cold” days.
  5. First 10 days of the month are a total torch, but ensembles are in agreement for now that it flips to a BN pattern after mid-month.
  6. Not even 0.1”. Have a hard time seeing those ~0.5” forecasts verifying.
  7. This is always the dilemma with good patterns in late November and early December. It’s still more apt to produce cold rain due to climo. I like seeing a good pattern arrive closer to mid December. We often get a can-kick with pattern changes as models rush it, so if we torch for 10-14 days, then maybe we have some level of transition for another 2 weeks, maybe we can get something good to start December.
  8. I guess if they’ve forgotten how to draft well since EDC took over, at least they’re trading well!
  9. Getting more consistent on Ops and ensembles that our torchvember will start relaxing a bit around Veterans Day. Looks like we finally get a cold front or two with some oomph and the eastern ridge starts to weaken.
  10. Lots of leaves falling now. If we get a good windy day, going to be a blizzard out there with drifts 1-2’ deep.
  11. Thought of a scary Halloween costume: 33F rain
  12. My CFS comment holds for control runs of any type.
  13. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    Our coldest weather typically occurs with an -EPO. Which I’m sure you know and are just trolling.
  14. Just stopping by to remark on JB’s addled brain now blaming warming temps on subaqueous volcanoes
  15. Let’s please not get in the habit of posting CFS snowmaps.
  16. Wraparound snows in early November. Always a lock.
  17. Wow, that was not a score I expected to wake up to! Obviously I watched the really awful half of that game.
  18. They’re not even hot garbage. Ice cold garbage.
  19. Ravens already have me rolling my eyes
  20. Hope so! I don’t mind a warm November (assuming it flips in mid-December), but I am mildly annoyed how late the first freeze will probably be now.
  21. What you really don’t want to see in DJF:
×
×
  • Create New...