frazdaddy
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Everything posted by frazdaddy
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"CAD Always Overperforms" Yeah I agree and have never subscribed to that logic. It's just way to broad a statement. I think each situation is different as the mechanisms that scrub the cold out and the length of time the cold air has been in the CAD area are different from storm to storm.
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Pouring sleet in Moncure.
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Yeah, it started with a bang but I think it missed a crucial update during the shut down. I agree, Some decent cold showing up at the end of the month.
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The evil twin (FV3) says huh... what storm?
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Yeah, Can't help but reflect back to a chat we had with him a while back.
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This winter is a lot like putting an old ice tray in the freezer, unplugging the unit and hoping for the best.
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FV3 toyed with it and another for the 21-22 at 6z. So we have hints from the Euro, Fv3, GFS and the Canadian that something could be up around the 20/21 timeframe. We shall see.
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Spike wasn't around to say no.
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Agreed ,12z runs on deck. Let's see where this goes.
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Having a hard time with that myself @shaggy. Had not heard the tip part. I have a buddy that flew those choppers with flir for the NCHP. They don't miss much if it's warmer than surrounding fauna. Remember, that's how they found the Boston marathon guy hiding in the boat under a cover.
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ole CR knows a thing or two about weather.
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I just ordered my premergent from Southern States. All this forecasted warm weather will surely germinate those weeds.
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Keep the faith man, there is some cold air incoming. I think before winter 2019 is over we get a suppressed coastal. Told my wife Monday that we would be snow chasing to the beach house in EI before it was al over.
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Great job on the shots!
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Looking at the last two days of model runs. I am struck by the way we have a steady diet of very close near misses in the long range. No way that timing works out as modeled. If the runs were modeling major fantasy snow we would all be sure it would change as it gets closer and it would. We are going to get snowed on folks.
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true story
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Maybe Grit can chime in on how the CMC is doing with verification scores?
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sigh....
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Do it Falls, you got the MOJO
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Yeah, I'm not either,but holy moly that was amazing. Agree on Dabo, his enthusiasm elevates the players for sure.
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Just realized I got that wrong. That's just wow, what a power house duo for Dabo! Ross is like human flypaper.
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And...That's a young team. Trevor Lawrence is a sophomore and Justin Ross is a freshman. There will be Tiger paws on 95 all the way to the Ga line for a while.
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Nah, it needs a string of 60/70's to germinate. Ground temp in the upper 50's. You can sod it though. It will be dormant but will start to grow when temps go up.
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That's where my hat is hung. Really does look like things pick up after the 16th. We should be getting better hints in the next few days as Poiman pointed out this afternoon. A cold back end has a lot of promise.
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Yepp, that headline scared me. I don't have a lot of friends.
