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Everything posted by John1122
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Last time we had such an active tropical season in 2005, we were basically normal for October and November, slightly BN for December, January was an unrepentant blow-torch that finished +7. February was 3 degrees BN and I had 7 inches of snow during the month. January will probably match this year with how our luck has gone. Not sure if the others will or not. That September was much drier and much hotter than this one has been so far. It didn't rain at all until September 15th. It was 4 degrees AN with 7 days in the 90s. We haven't been above 87 this month here and it's rained some. September 2005 didn't see a day in the 40s until the last day of the month. We should get there this weekend.
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Looks like we may dodge the hurricane rains for the most part. I know MRX was initially showing 2 to 3 inches across the area. I'm actually running BN for the month with only 1.3 inches. Creeks and streams are still over full but it feels almost strange to be getting so many dry days, even though it did rain this weekend. MRX also has my highs in the upper 60s late this week. That will feel awesome Friday night after last Friday's humidityfest at Seymour.
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It was miserable in Seymour yesterday evening at the football game. I hope that was the last blistering Friday night of the season.
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Wild Speculation for Winter 20 -21
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
That would be great news if the H would form there and orient itself right. The Pacific really can drive the bus here in otherwise unfavorable NAO/AO conditions. I would really love to see the stars align and see us get a favorable period with the Pacific and the Atlantic. It surely will happen again at some point before the earth stops spinning. -
Hey Jax, praying for you and your family. Appreciate reading your stuff here. Your ENSO, severe and East Asian stuff bring a lot to the board that I honestly never knew before. Hope all goes well for you guys over the next few weeks and months.
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Feels awesome this evening. Walked 3 miles between 6 and 7 pm and didn't even break a sweat out there. Temp has already fallen off to 65 degrees. May make a run at lower 50s by morning.
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Day 3, more rain. .52 so far today. .77 for September.
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Showers nearby have the temperature here at 84 degrees but the humidity is 82 percent. That 78 degree dewpoint has the feels like temperature near 100. Feels like the gulf coast outside. Bring on the cold front!
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The big cold front still seems to be a go per the GFS. It's very impressive, looks like next Wednesday daytime highs will be in the 50s in the western 2/3rds of the valley if the GFS isn't too cold right now. GFS is throwing out lower 40s along the Plateau next Thursday morning.
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Not surprisingly, it rained on day one of fall and there looks to be some rain about to move in right now for day two.
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Last year the first temps in the 40s imby happened September 25th. There's a good shot this year they arrive more than two weeks earlier than that this year. Last year after those first two nights in the 40s it was another two weeks before they came back. Through the first 40 days of meteorological fall last year (Sept 1-Oct 10) we had more than 3 times as many days in the 90s (7) than nights in the 40s (2). Normally the highs fall from around 81 to around 70 and lows from the upper 50s to around 50 during that time frame. I'm all in for getting to enjoy high school football in good weather. So far its rained and been extremely humid the first two games and looks to rain again next Friday. Game 4 should be great football weather though.
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Tomorrow is day 1 of meteorological fall so I fired up the cool/cold season general obs thread. Hopefully we get plenty of use for storm specific obs threads this winter.
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Went to Blue Ridge, GA today to help a friend load some stuff from outdoor storage into a UHaul. Needless to say, if you need a drought busted, I'm your guy.
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Someone posted this about an hour ago claiming it was London, Ky and even gave the street they they took the picture from. Not sure if it's true, mainly interested on what kind of cloud this is.
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Wild Speculation for Winter 20 -21
John1122 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I just wish we could get our BN warm season weather, which has been frequent the last few years, to actually cooperate in winter and land there for a change. -
She will remember days like this when she's with her future little ones.
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Was it 1955-56 we were looking at late last fall into winter comparing similarities to this year? I was looking at record lows for each month and it appears June, August and September of 1956 all had monthly record lows for here. June 1956 - 33 degrees August 1956 - 41 degrees September 1956 - 31 degrees. 1961, which doesn't have the record coldest May day here, did have the end if month freezes. 1961 also has the record low for July of 45 degrees. We've been close to that one a few times since 2009 here with several July nights in the 40s.
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Saw a photo of trees and overturned tractor trailers of where the tornado supposedly crossed I-40 earlier. Could have been straight line winds too. Nothing not extremely heavy rain here and a few thunder claps.
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That tornado video was way closer than I ever want to be to one. I imagine the power for the traffic lights was probably underground or possibly even on a solar back up. I wonder what the f rating was on that tornado? I was in the slight risk area but that seems to have been downgraded to marginal at this point. So once again the non-stop heavy rains are the bigger issue here. Going to approach 10 inches again this month it looks like, possibly exceed it. I've not actually looked at the rain gauge yet from today's rain but I was at 7.43 inches coming into this event and it rained heavily overnight into this morning.
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I was at 29-30 for the last 4 hours. It won't do my fully bloomed apple trees any favors. Shouldn't bother the cabbage in the garden. I hold off on anything frost sensitive until May. Been burned too many times by frosts the first week of May.
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Got extremely windy here but the storm itself never managed to connect with the line in Kentucky like SPC thought, so it didn't even rain here with the line passing.
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Apparently the viruses have a hard time in humidity, so maybe the rain will actually slow it some.
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Widespread damage reports from McCreary County 911. Roads blocked, trees and powerlines down. No reports of destroyed homes so far, thankfully.
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Big time hook echo about 15 or 20 miles north of me in Southern Kentucky in that warned storm. Hope our SE Kentucky folks are okay.
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TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
John1122 replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the parade continues.
