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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Sleet/snow mix has finally started. Looks like maybe 2 hours of precip still to go for my area.
  2. John1122
    Down to 32 but still no precip. Just misty. See that Crossville is picking up LT snow now. That's basically upstream for me.
  3. John1122
    Precip has died here and upstream of here. Will see if the precip in the mid state can get here, thinking I'll be lucky to get dusting at this point.
  4. John1122
    Looks like the precip is breaking up for a bit, right as the changeover was getting close.
  5. John1122
    Changing over at elevation above me. I'd guess 2500 feet is changed.
  6. John1122
    Down to 39 now. Snow is breaking out in Fentress on the radar.
  7. John1122
    The snow line looks like it's moving at about 25 mph. Its about 75 miles WNW of me.
  8. John1122
    Somerset is 34 but with rain still. Hopefully it's close to switching over. A shame to waste QPF at that temp.
  9. John1122
  10. John1122
    It's a potent from. My area is modeled to be around 23 by day break.
  11. John1122
    Just absolutely pouring rain right now. I always hate the hours waiting on a changeover, using up QPF. Wouldn't be shocked to see it fall apart here as shown on some modeling and see it redevelop over the eastern areas. Looks ragged downstream in the cold, without that enhancement on the front the far eastern areas look like they might get, I'm thinking maybe 1/2 inch for me.
  12. John1122
    Gusty NW winds, temp is 46, looks like you get from 50-40 in a big hurry then it slowly falls into the 30s. Looks like its taking 34-35 to switch.
  13. John1122
    Cold push is on the western edge of the Plateau. 42 in Somerset Ky. 52 in Williamsburg. 41 in Livingston, 50 in Crossville.
  14. John1122
    Blanks me, after last year I wouldn't be surprised.
  15. John1122
    Looks like the mix is close to AMZ and not far from Jax.
  16. John1122
    Let us know what temp you see mixing/snow and if you get any sleet.
  17. John1122
    Temp has fallen from 56 to 51 in the last 15 minutes.
  18. John1122
    What is your temp, how fast is it falling? Cold has an easier time spilling in west of the Plateau.
  19. John1122
    Kind of surprised, MRX went with a WWA for the Plateau, SWVA, and the mountains. I didn't think all those areas would land one and am surprised Knox to Tri didn't if the other areas were getting one.
  20. John1122
    Euro held pretty steady, the models are loving Knox-Sevier Co. GFS and Euro are 4-6 inches in those areas.
  21. John1122
    NAM 3k had been by far the most bearish model, even it had a decent uptick with some 3+ inch bands in the middle valley areas north of Nashville.
  22. John1122
    I don't blame MRX either, this would be an unusual event to have that much post frontal snow, everything they mention in AFD is about rapid drying and maybe 2-3 hours of snowfall at best. I guess either the models will blink tomorrow or MRX may have to up totals just in case. I suspect ultimately a winter weather advisory for the Smokies/Wise/NE Mountains, SPS otherwise.
  23. John1122
    Still heavy snow in the eastern areas at 39.
  24. John1122
    The 21z 39 hour RAP is going bonkers forum wide.
  25. John1122
    Just saw this thread had opened. MRX basically going with 1/2 inch or less below 2500 right now.
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