cny rider

43 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

How far is your ride?

7.5 miles.

We live up on a hill.  The first 1.5 miles drops 400 feet vertical.

So it's a quick ride to work but a slog to get home.

2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Took me 10 minutes to scrap my car off this morning. 

I rode my bicycle to work (not unusual, that's how I go to work most days).

It was spectacular.  The combination of heavy frost and ice fog had coated the fields and trees in glimmering crystals.

29 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Eichel to vegas. 

Good riddance.  What a loser.

We just scored first flakes here as a vigorous but brief snow shower rolled through.

Now on to bigger things!

We really lucked out here, with the rain going to our west.

We are still saturated from earlier in the week.  It wouldn't have taken much to have us flooding again.

1. Are you peeing blood?

2.  If you can, filter your urine for the next couple of days and see if you catch little stones.

1 hour ago, Flying MXZ said:

Taking the daughter to UB next weekend to check it out.  Any recommendations for hotels, dinner (bar and grill type place)?  Any other need to see things nearby?  Quick visit as we're checking out Ithaca on the way back Sunday.

You have to have wings at Duffs!

9 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Sabres playing really well 4-1-1.

After being so bad they were unwatchable the last few years, this looks like a different team.

Let's hope they can keep it up.

11 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Have you been up in the high peaks during a snowstorm? Wind speeds above 4K feet on open summits can be well over 100 mph with whiteout conditions. The strongest winds I’ve ever felt were on top of a high peak in February of 2019, had to be 90 mph. You’ll never see snowfall rates in the adk like you’ll see in a strong band off the tug but temps are insanely cold at the summits, and wind speeds are insane. The scariest part is getting stuck up there in a bad storm, many times 7-8 mile walk back to the car. 

We have avoided being that high during storms.

Tug just feels so exposed to me during high intensity LE events.

5 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

It's scary up there in winter weather.

I've been in the Adirondacks during snowstorms, and I've been on the Tug during storms.

The Dacks don't really scare me.

But I have felt a real visceral fear during heavy lake effect on the tug, especially crossing open areas with the wind howling.

I just woke up and took the dog out.

Its 65F and humid at 0630.

Feels just like Christmas!

1 hour ago, Ericjcrash said:

Might have to turn the heat on finally Monday. Upper 30s and low 50s highs will probably do it.

We had the furnace on for a few hours a couple of weeks ago when we had a chilly morning. Nothing since.

We have not touched our wood pellets yet but I think that changes on Monday for sure.

7 hours ago, Luke_Mages said:

 You're missing the point...there's no choice being taken by the people on those planes to risk death and die. They are paying for safe travel.

I'm vaccinated. I think its great and amazing and a testament to our ability to innovate.

However it's wrong to force something upon people for their "own good", especially when its not deadly for 99.8% of the population.

How would you feel if we realized that its really overpopulation causing global warming(it is) and it was determined that for the sake of mankind it was necessary to sterilize half the population? Global warming has the potential to kill billions of humans along with thousands of entire species. Would you agree with that being forced on people too?

Or how about forcing people to eat healthy and exercise to stop the obesity and diabetes pandemic?

It's too slippery a slop and small percentage of the population dying(tech by their choice not to be vaxd) for me to agree with you on the topic. I think that the looming economic catastrophe from everything going on will overshadow the entire pandemic.

 

My argument is based on public health.

In this post and the one below I think you make a compelling economic argument in favor of vaccination.

I don't come to this knowing much about supply chains, but have read a bit lately as they have been in the news.

Do your products originate in Asia?

Wouldn't the best thing for your business be for as many people to get vaccinated as possible, all over the world?

You wouldn't have mines shutting down for Covid, factories shutting down because of Covid, shipping understaffed because of Covid and so on and so on.

Your products could be produced, and get to you on time, with the least inflationary pressure versus what is happening now.

That doesn't mean it has to be mandatory for everyone.  But it means it should be promoted and presented in a positive light as a way of resuming healthy economic activity.

32 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said:

That doesn't make my point wrong. At no point are we experiencing "death en masse" in red states relative to blue states as @cny rider claimed. Statistically it doesn't matter what state you're in and the measures taken, the death rate is about the same. 

I'd bet any amount of money that the death rate has a stronger correlation to obesity/diabetes/insert comorbitity here than vaccination status...

Death en masse wasn't a comment on red versus blue states.

It's a comment on Florida having 400 Covid deaths a day last month, many of which would not have happened had vaccination and public health measures been followed.

400 dead people is a lot of dead people.

You've probably flown on a 737 at some point?  Two or three of those crashing a day, every day, killing everyone on board.  You would think there would be some attempt to stop the carnage after just a few of those planes crashed in Florida, but there was an almost reflexive refusal by the governor to do anything constructive. 

4 hours ago, rochesterdave said:

You seem a little ‘excited’ by the memory of this story

It was, shall we say, a little titillating. 

There are worse ways to spend a summer say.

1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said:

Did they look like this?

I wasn't going to mention it but these were two extremely attractive women dressed in skin tight material, and there wasn't even much of it.

They were really good at the yoga though and nobody plunged off the side!

13 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Peak fall conditions in the Adirondacks. Stunning colors!!

We did that hike last summer.

It is spectacular.

While we were there two women showed up in skin tight outfits and started posing for pictures in yoga poses right on the edge of the rocks where you are sitting.

They were in all kinds of weird balanced positions, literally right at the edge of the cliff face.

They said it was for the website for their studio.  

Nobody died.

We’ve broken out into the sun here.

Another 10/10 fall day.

8 hours ago, vortmax said:

Here are the Top 10 States ranked by C19 deaths/1M:

Pretty much split between red and blue states (Texas is 19th).

Here's total C19 deaths, Top 10 states:

Again, pretty even split. 

cnyrider your judgement without data is again unjustified. At some point people have to stop reacting out of emotion and offense (per the media) and be logical, reasonable, and fair.

I don't watch CNN and I don't consume a lot of media.

Your stats are misleading about what has actually happened over the last 18 months.

New York was ground zero for the arrival of Covid in early 2020.  The city was overwhelmed with it.

There were no vaccines, no effective treatments and a completely overwhelmed hospital system.  Bad decisions were made regarding nursing home residents.

Deaths from Covid were measured in the thousands per week, peaking at over 2300 in April 2020.

Since that time we have developed vaccines, effective therapies, and learned much about the effectiveness of masks and environmental control of virus spread.

New York's death toll is generally 100-200 per week now.

Florida did not have the early disease surge that NY had.  Their first week with deaths greater than 1000 was in July 2020.

The sad, senseless part is that through poor vaccination efforts, and refusal to implement risk reduction practices, the death toll in Florida soared to over 2000 per week in August and September.

That should not have happened with a highly effective, widely available vaccine.

Thousands of people suffered and died senseless, unnecessary deaths as a result of bad governance and management.

7 hours ago, TugHillMatt said:

Boom. Awesome use of stats.

Yes, awesome use of stats to obscure the reality of what is taking place.

You know that if Warren Buffett joined this discussion we are having, statistically speaking on average we would all be billionaires ?

11 hours ago, Luke_Mages said:

Furthermore look at what’s going on with cancer rates and other serious diseases. In 10 years I hope we’re able to look back and learn how horrifically this whole thing has been handled. All for 0.002 of the population. God forbid we have a something of a mortality of 10%…

I admire your dedication to cancer screening.

Perhaps you could impart that to unvaccinated friends and colleagues.

One of the most impactful screening procedures we do for people is colonoscopy.

When you have a colonoscopy there will be 3 people in the room with you:  A gastroenterologist, a GI nurse, and an anesthesiologist or CRNA.

When a hospital gets hit with a Covid surge the anesthesia people get pulled and reassigned to airway management and critical care teams, taking care of the critically ill who are almost all unvaccinated.

Guess how many screening colonoscopies happen during that time?  Zero.

What's the best way to keep the GI Lab humming along doing those essential screenings?  Get vaccinated!

9 hours ago, Luke_Mages said:

All of these are examples of force, as it was government policy not civilian behavior that drove the closures. The public officials overstepped and used fear to control the population. If this was truly dangerous and deadly people wouldn’t have needed the govt to step in and protect them. If the govt took all of these steps to fight the obesity pandemic they’d save more lives. Literally. 
 

We can look to the great states of Florida, Texas and Idaho for the outcomes in places that didn’t accept vaccination in high numbers and also didn’t “force” people to follow good public health pandemic mitigation strategies.

Their governors in particular made the pandemic a political issue, not a public health issue.

The results really have been impressive.  Death en masse.

10 hours ago, TugHillMatt said:

Just stop. You can lecture me on and on. Your political viewpoints and how they connect to the health industry are not the only way.

I didn't "spin" anything...and news flash...I got vaccinated...as you know.

I think we know full well that people are being punished for not getting vaccinated...and I do not agree with that. 

So, I guess we have the rights to do some things and then we are "saved by the governing bodies" when there are consequences...but it's very choosy on which you get helped...which is of course based on political agenda..

YOU can spin it any way you want...but I see through the political bull crap and manipulation.

 

It's not all about you.

You chose to get vaccinated and I'm happy for you.

People aren't being punished for not being vaccinated, they are making a choice.

In this case they can choose to get vaccinated and have a kidney transplant.

Or they can choose not to get vaccinated and stay on dialysis.

Seems simple enough, I know which option I would choose.

6 hours ago, vortmax said:

Again, if the hospital's statement were more specific, then maybe it could be more digestible. However, they don't tell you what the increased risk is above the baseline % range for getting Covid after the surgery (and that's assuming they actually contract Covid). 

"For transplant patients who contract COVID-19, the mortality rate ranges from about 20% to more than 30%."

The hospital's mortality rate statement is, according to current data I shared earlier, in the same or similar range as the surgery risk for non-Covid contracting patients. Just doesn't make sense. I find ambiguity by professionals in official statements is meant for manipulation.

This seems paranoid.

9 hours ago, Luke_Mages said:

Fixed 

I'd be curious to know if it wasn't such a hard sell if the vaccination rates would be higher. 

If something has to be sold to me, or even worse forced on me, I typically don't buy it.

Force fed by whom?

The public health officials whose job it is to fight pandemic illness?

The doctors and nurses who have seen enough death for a lifetime and want people to be protected?

Or was it those parents who want their kids to be able to attend school in person, maybe even without masks once the infection rates are down from vaccination?

Or was it the small business owners who knew their businesses wouldn't survive unless infection rates went down and people started shopping in person, attending events, going to the hairdresser and the hardware store?

And from a logical standpoint:  The "hard sell" is irrelevant.

You should make decisions that favor your survival, even if you think there's some nefarious "they" who want you to do something.