Damage In Tolland
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Everything posted by Damage In Tolland
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At least models lost the EC troughing and replaced with WAR. So no real COC weather this month -
That kind of shows the concerns. Very narrow area of big rains . With sharp cutoff not far north . Convective processes gonna F with models until Monday morning runs . Hopefully an inch here
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Hopefully HRRR is wrong with the storms tonight missing here to the south and instead we actually get some rain . If that happens and they get crushed 5-10 miles SW I may light fireworks into neighbors windows. For now radar looks semi promising
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These will be fun to bump on Tuesday when CT shore to NYC gets crushed with much less here . Especially Ryan’s posts
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You’ve had double the rain this summer. We Had 2.6 all of June and .10 this month. When this ends up coastal CT south Imma lose it . Look at that sharp cutoff . Tell tale sign when you see that
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Man you are balls deep and all in. The lines are drawn!
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It seems like a lot of folks are thinking 2-3 and higher amounts will be common. Would be great if correct. I won’t buy it until we see how things look early morning Monday
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Scooter is really good at sniffing these out and which ones are legit vs BS, which narrow zones might be favored etc. Dude has close to a million posts and the day we need him he’s laying at the bottom of Winni
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For regional 1-3+ synoptic rains.. I mean yes.. lol
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If this was winter these wet n wild Mets would be so conservative when they should be gung ho. In summer it’s rains gone wild when so many things could go wrong . Interfering to note
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With convection involved in the mid Atlantic. Proceed with much caution on big amounts
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He’s well aware of my thoughts . Thanks for your obsession
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As of now you saw my forecast
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Subject to change .. but I’ve been thinking .5- .75 .. if lucky 1” If happen to get a storm today that’s not included Enjoy the 4th . It’s as hot as a firecracker https://x.com/barstoolsports/status/2073385963242340699?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
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That’s about 1.5” 2” here and it had 5-6 00z, Point being wagons south with heaviest
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6z Euro bump south with big amounts now coastal CT to S coast RI south west thru NYC. Much less north
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4-6” is your call. Fingers crossed . I’ll be happy with 1”
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It’s weak wave along a boundary . Usually south
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I really hope you are correct with your forecast . I remain highly skeptical of that much rain over a large area. I can think of a bunch of scenarios over the years modeled like this.. and that’s not how it ended .
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NYC/ NJ South special
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Wagons def south. Convection will rob alot of the moisture . Baroclinic processes basically nil in summer. Folks always fall for these widespread soakers in summer and then get upset with .50
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You mean w and sw CT
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Lots of spread on ensembles. Will be a very narrow area . Rest of the area will just be meh
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Onto later next week
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I just don’t understand why that NYC area gets hit so often and we can never get anything like that . We get warnings that don’t even rain and they blow every plane off runways
