Damage In Tolland
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Everything posted by Damage In Tolland
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With convection involved in the mid Atlantic. Proceed with much caution on big amounts -
He’s well aware of my thoughts . Thanks for your obsession
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As of now you saw my forecast
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Subject to change .. but I’ve been thinking .5- .75 .. if lucky 1” If happen to get a storm today that’s not included Enjoy the 4th . It’s as hot as a firecracker https://x.com/barstoolsports/status/2073385963242340699?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
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That’s about 1.5” 2” here and it had 5-6 00z, Point being wagons south with heaviest
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6z Euro bump south with big amounts now coastal CT to S coast RI south west thru NYC. Much less north
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4-6” is your call. Fingers crossed . I’ll be happy with 1”
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It’s weak wave along a boundary . Usually south
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I really hope you are correct with your forecast . I remain highly skeptical of that much rain over a large area. I can think of a bunch of scenarios over the years modeled like this.. and that’s not how it ended .
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NYC/ NJ South special
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Wagons def south. Convection will rob alot of the moisture . Baroclinic processes basically nil in summer. Folks always fall for these widespread soakers in summer and then get upset with .50
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You mean w and sw CT
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Lots of spread on ensembles. Will be a very narrow area . Rest of the area will just be meh
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Onto later next week
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I just don’t understand why that NYC area gets hit so often and we can never get anything like that . We get warnings that don’t even rain and they blow every plane off runways
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I see 53mph EWR
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That would make me throw up in my mouth . I’m on 3rd good one . We Treehouse currently.
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That area has gotten hit at least 4/5 times this summer with bigtime storms .
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Tomorrow looks like same area. Just unreal stretch of nothing
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You’ve got severe coming in over next few hours . Take the fam out into that for relief
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What are you.. a senior ?
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Stein wasting water in drought times https://x.com/growingwisdom/status/2073131088889745692?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
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Euro suite loves doing this in summer . Convection will rob heavy moisture transport north and lack of baroclinicity in summer . Other guidance will take it to woodshed again
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Sell the soak. You have been warned Around BDL about 25 percent of members are greater than 1 inch QPF, vs around 15 percent as you move towards LWM. It is also notable that many of these rainy member are from the ECMWF ensemble. That`s why I`m leaning more light rain at this time than a true soaker.
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Without a doubt. She was away last summer for this. Would have lost her mind Almost to the day a year ago. Back when we got storms here https://imgur.com/a/rrKpAz8#cKrHWER
